Aston Villa - Nottingham Forest prediction 12 September 2026
Aston Villa
Nottingham ForestAston Villa
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Aston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestAston VillaNottingham ForestNottingham ForestAston Villa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction (Sep 12)
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction for the Premier League clash on Sep 12, 2026, at 14:00. Villa Park will host this fixture, with Aston Villa emerging as favorites based on head-to-head dominance and home advantage, holding a 45% win probability.
Team Form
Aston Villa's recent results in all competitions read D, L, L, L, L. In the Premier League, they drew 0-0 away at Hull City, lost 0-1 at home to Arsenal FC, and suffered a 0-4 defeat at Brighton. Their pre-season friendlies also ended in losses to Borussia Monchengladbach and Bayern Munich.
Nottingham Forest's last five are D, D, L, L, W. The win came in a friendly against Brest. In the Premier League, they secured a 0-0 home draw with Tottenham Hotspur, a 2-2 away draw at Liverpool, and a 0-1 home loss to Leeds United. They also lost 0-2 at home to Leeds United in the League Cup.
Head-to-Head Record
The overall H2H record heavily favors Aston Villa: 12 wins, 5 draws, and only 3 wins for Nottingham Forest. The last five meetings include a 4-0 Villa home win in the UEFA Europa League (May 2026), a 1-0 Forest home win in the same competition (Apr 2026), a 1-1 draw at Forest in the Premier League (Apr 2026), a 3-1 Villa home win in the Premier League (Jan 2026), and a 2-1 Villa home win in the Premier League (Apr 2025). Aston Villa have won four of the last five encounters.
League Table Positions
The provided Premier League standings (top 12) do not include either Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest. This indicates both sides are currently outside the early-season top 12 positions, likely sitting mid-table or lower after three matchdays.
Win Probability: Aston Villa or Nottingham Forest?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head, and home advantage, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Aston Villa 45%, draw 30%, Nottingham Forest 25%. The bookmaker odds imply a 41% chance for Villa, but their strong H2H record at Villa Park and the hosts' factor push that number higher despite a poor recent run. Forest's 25% chance reflects their underdog status, though they have shown resilience in league draws away at Liverpool.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers list Aston Villa as favorites with odds of 1.95 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.15, and a Nottingham Forest away victory at 3.80. These odds mirror the expectation that Villa are more likely to win, but the close draw odds suggest a tight contest is anticipated. Based on the stats, Aston Villa are the more probable winners, yet Nottingham Forest have a credible chance of taking a point.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest โ FAQ
- Who will win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?
- Aston Villa have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and Nottingham Forest have a 25% chance. Villa are favorites due to home advantage and a dominant head-to-head record (12 wins to Forest's 3).
- What is the win probability for Aston Villa?
- Aston Villa's win probability is 45%, adjusted from the 41% implied by the odds of 1.95. The adjustment accounts for their excellent H2H record at Villa Park, where they have won four of the last five meetings.
- When is the Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest match?
- The match is on Sep 12, 2026, kicking off at 14:00 local time. It is a Premier League fixture at Villa Park in Birmingham.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds are: Aston Villa win 1.95, draw 2.15, and Nottingham Forest win 3.80. These are the latest pre-match odds available from the bookmakers.