Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa prediction 19 September 2026
Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa
ChelseaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurCoventry CityManchester UnitedTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaLiverpoolTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurEvertonNottingham ForestTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurNewcastle UnitedTottenham HotspurCharlton AthleticBrentfordTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurTSG 1899 HoffenheimTottenham HotspurTSG 1899 HoffenheimTottenham HotspurGetafeChelseaTottenham HotspurSydney FCTottenham HotspurAston VillaManchester CityAston VillaVikingNewcastle UnitedAston VillaAston VillaFenerbahceAston VillaBrentfordSevillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaCoventry CityAston VillaAston VillaNottingham ForestClub BruggeAston VillaHull CityAston VillaAston VillaArsenal FCBrightonAston VillaBorussia MonchengladbachAston VillaAston VillaBayern MunichTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston VillaTottenham HotspurAston Villa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Arsenal FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 16 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 6 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | +5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |  Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 |  Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 |  Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 9 |
| 12 | Tottenham Hotspur | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Newcastle United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Manchester United | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |  Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 4 |
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Prediction (Sep 19, 2026)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa prediction for the Premier League match on September 19, 2026, at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Based on our win probability analysis, Tottenham Hotspur has a 42% chance of winning, the draw sits at 27%, and Aston Villa has a 31% chance.
Team Form
Tottenham Hotspurโs last five results (all competitions) read D, D, L, W, L. After a 5-1 League Cup win over Charlton Athletic, they drew 0-0 away at Nottingham Forest, drew 0-0 at home with Everton, and lost 0-2 to Newcastle United and 0-3 at Brentford. The side has scored just once in their last four Premier League outings.
Aston Villaโs recent form is L, W, D, L, L. They lost 0-4 at Brighton, 0-1 at home to Arsenal, and 1-2 at home to Nottingham Forest, drew 0-0 at Hull City, and won 3-2 at Club Brugge in the UEFA Champions League. Villa have lost three of their last four league matches.
Head-to-Head Record
Overall, Tottenham Hotspur have nine wins to Aston Villaโs eight, with one draw in all competitions. However, the recent head-to-head record heavily favours Aston Villa. The last five meetings:
- May 3, 2026 (Premier League): Aston Villa 1โ2 Tottenham Hotspur
- Jan 10, 2026 (FA Cup): Tottenham Hotspur 1โ2 Aston Villa
- Oct 19, 2025 (Premier League): Tottenham Hotspur 1โ2 Aston Villa
- May 16, 2025 (Premier League): Aston Villa 2โ0 Tottenham Hotspur
- Feb 9, 2025 (FA Cup): Aston Villa 2โ1 Tottenham Hotspur
Aston Villa have won four of those five, scoring twice in each victory. Tottenhamโs only recent win came on May 3, 2026.
League Table Positions
The Premier League table after four matchdays shows the top 12. Neither Tottenham Hotspur nor Aston Villa appear in that list, meaning both sides are currently outside the top 12 and in the lower half of the standings. Tottenham have played four, and Villa have also played four, but their exact points and rank are not disclosed in the available data.
Win Probability: Tottenham Hotspur or Aston Villa?
Using odds from the bookmaker market as a baseline, the implied chances were adjusted for team form, the strong Aston Villa headโtoโhead advantage, and home/away factors. The final probabilities are:
- Tottenham Hotspur win: 42%
- Draw: 27%
- Aston Villa win: 31%
Although bookmakers initially make Tottenham the marginal favourite, Aston Villaโs four wins in the last five meetings significantly narrow the gap. The draw probability is also noteworthy given both teamsโ recent struggles to find the net.
Odds & Match Prediction
Representative preโmatch odds for the 1X2 market:
- Tottenham Hotspur: 2.08
- Draw: 3.85
- Aston Villa: 3.75
Based on the stats, Tottenham Hotspur enter as the slight favourites at home, but Aston Villaโs dominant headโtoโhead form in recent encounters makes the away win a live possibility. The match outcome is far from certain, and a draw cannot be ruled out. From a betting tips perspective, the value may lie with the away side or the draw given the historical trend.
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa โ FAQ
- Who will win Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
- Tottenham Hotspur have a 42% win probability, the draw is 27%, and Aston Villa have a 31% chance. The match is at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, and while bookmakers see the home side as marginal favourites, Aston Villaโs recent head-to-head record (four wins in the last five meetings) suggests they have a strong opportunity to take points.
- What is the win probability for Tottenham Hotspur?
- Tottenham Hotspurโs win probability is 42%. This figure is based on the inverse of the bookmaker odds (2.08) adjusted downwards to account for a poor recent headโtoโhead record against Aston Villa and a run of only one win in their last five matches overall.
- When is the Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa match?
- The Premier League match between Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa kicks off on September 19, 2026, at 11:30 UTC. The fixture will be played at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, a 62,062โcapacity venue with a grass surface.
- What are the odds for Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa?
- Prematch odds from one of the bookmakers list a home win for Tottenham Hotspur at 2.08, a draw at 3.85, and an Aston Villa away win at 3.75. These odds reflect a market that sees Tottenham as the favourite but acknowledges a competitive contest.