Atalanta - Venezia prediction 12 October 2026
Atalanta
VeneziaAtalanta
FrosinoneAjaxAtalantaAC MilanAtalantaAtalantaPafos FCAtalantaVeneziaJuventusAtalantaAtalantaCagliariAS RomaAtalantaAtalantaBolognaHapoel Tel AvivAtalantaAtalantaSassuoloAtalantaHapoel Tel AvivAtalantaAthletic BilbaoSchalke 04AtalantaFeyenoordAtalantaGenoaVeneziaVeneziaNapoliAtalantaVeneziaVeneziaLazioVeneziaFiorentinaFrosinoneVeneziaUdineseVeneziaAC MilanVeneziaVeneziaLecceVeneziaModenaBrestVeneziaSaint EtienneVeneziaGalatasarayVeneziaVeneziaVis PesaroVeneziaPalermoAtalantaVeneziaAtalantaVeneziaVeneziaAtalantaVeneziaAtalantaVeneziaAtalantaAtalantaVeneziaAtalantaVeneziaAtalantaVenezia| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 23:10 | +13 | 22 |
| 2 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:5 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19:6 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  AC Milan | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 18 |
| 5 |  Como 1907 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 |
| 8 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Udinese | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction (Oct 12)
Our Atalanta vs Venezia prediction for the Serie A match on Oct 12, 2026, at 17:30 local time points to a home win. Based on all available data, Atalanta has a 55% chance of victory, while Venezia sits at just 20% to pull off an upset.
Team Form
Atalantaโs form line reads L, L, L, W, W. After three consecutive Serie A defeats โ to Juventus (2-0 on Sep 20), Cagliari (1-2 at home on Sep 12) and AS Roma (2-1 on Sep 5) โ the team bounced back with a 1-0 home victory over Bologna on Aug 31 and a 1-0 win at Hapoel Tel Aviv in UEFA Conference League qualification on Aug 27. Those two clean sheets hint at a defensive improvement, though they still have only one league shutout in five outings.
Venezia are on a far worse run. Their last five results are all losses: 0-2 to Lazio (home, Sep 19), 2-4 to Fiorentina (home, Sep 11), 2-3 at Frosinone (away, Sep 6), 1-2 at Udinese in the Cup (Sep 2) and 0-2 at AC Milan (Aug 28). With 13 goals conceded in those five games, the newly promoted side looks out of its depth.
Head-to-Head Record
The history between these clubs is one-sided. In seven competitive meetings, Atalanta have won five, drawn two and never lost to Venezia. The most recent clash, on Mar 1, 2025, ended 0-0 at the Gewiss Stadium. Before that, Atalanta beat Venezia 2-0 away in October 2024 and 3-1 away in April 2022. A Coppa Italia meeting in January 2022 also finished 2-0 to Atalanta. No Venezia wins in the entire H2H record underlines the gulf between the sides.
League Table Positions
Atalanta are 11th in Serie A with 6 points from 5 matches (2 wins, 3 losses; 5 goals scored, 7 conceded). At home they sit 7th in the corresponding table, having taken 6 points from 3 games (wins over Bologna and one other, loss to Cagliari). Venezia are not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, meaning they occupy a spot in the relegation zone. The gap in league position and points illustrates the quality difference Atalanta enjoy.
Win Probability: Atalanta or Venezia?
We have combined bookmaker odds, recent form, H2H records and league positions to calculate the outcome probabilities. Atalanta have a 55% chance of winning this match. The draw is rated at 25%, while Veneziaโs win probability stands at just 20%. Although the raw odds implied a closer contest (about 45% home win, 35% draw, 19% away win), Atalantaโs historical dominance over Venezia, their improving form with back-to-back wins, and Veneziaโs terrible fiveโloss run force a significant adjustment in the hostsโ favour.
Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction: Our Verdict
The bookmakers see Atalanta as the clear favourite. Odds from the selected market show a home win at 1.95, a draw at 2.50 and an away win at 4.60. Considering Veneziaโs dreadful form and Atalantaโs perfect headโtoโhead record (0 defeats in 7 meetings), a home win is the most logical outcome. Our match prediction is a victory for Atalanta.
Atalanta vs Venezia โ FAQ
- Who will win Atalanta vs Venezia?
- Based on our analysis, Atalanta is the most likely winner with a 55% probability. The draw has a 25% chance, and Venezia has only a 20% chance to win.
- What is the win probability for Atalanta?
- Atalanta have a 55% chance of winning this match. This is derived from their dominant headโtoโhead record (5 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), Veneziaโs fiveโmatch losing streak, and the home advantage.
- When is the Atalanta vs Venezia match?
- The match kicks off on Oct 12, 2026, at 17:30 local time. It is a Serie A fixture, the top division of Italian football.
- What are the odds for Atalanta vs Venezia?
- From the prematch odds data, a home win for Atalanta is priced at 1.95, the draw at 2.50, and an away win for Venezia at 4.60.
- What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Venezia?
- In seven competitive meetings, Atalanta have won 5, drawn 2 and never lost to Venezia. The most recent game ended 0-0 in March 2025, while earlier matches saw comfortable Atalanta victories.