Athletic Bilbao B - Real Union de Irun prediction 11 October 2026

The Athletic Bilbao B vs Real Union de Irun prediction for the Primera Federacion match on Oct 11, 2026, points to a home win. Based on our analysis, Athletic Bilbao B has a 45% chance of winning, while Real Union de Irun has a 25% chance, with a 30% probability of a draw.

Team Form

Athletic Bilbao B come into this match with strong recent form, having won three of their last five matches (W3, D1, L1). Their most recent outing was a 3-1 defeat to Extremadura UD on Oct 4, but prior to that they secured wins against Arenas Club de Getxo (0-3), Pontevedra (1-3), and Real Aviles (2-1), along with a 2-2 draw against Deportivo La Coruna B. At home, they have been particularly solid, with two wins and a draw in their last three home fixtures.

Real Union de Irun, on the other hand, have been inconsistent. Their last five results show one win, two draws, and two losses (W1, D2, L2). They drew 1-1 with UD Ourense, lost 2-0 to Deportivo La Coruna B, drew 2-2 with CD Mirandes, lost 3-2 to Racing Club de Ferrol, and won 4-2 against Unionistas Salamanca. Away from home, they have struggled, with two losses and a draw in their last three away matches.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between Athletic Bilbao B and Real Union de Irun, as the two sides have not met in recent competitive fixtures. This will be their first encounter in the available data.

Win Probability: Athletic Bilbao B or Real Union de Irun?

After analyzing the odds, team form, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities for this match:

• Athletic Bilbao B win: 45%
• Draw: 30%
• Real Union de Irun win: 25%

The home side’s superior recent form (three wins in five) and the advantage of playing at home are the key factors. Real Union de Irun’s inconsistent away performances and lack of historical edge make them the underdogs. The draw probability is relatively high, reflecting the competitive nature of the Primera Federacion.

Odds & Match Prediction

The average bookmaker odds for this match are: home win 1.96, draw 2.51, away win 3.46. These odds imply that Athletic Bilbao B are clear favorites. For betting tips, the home win offers value, but the draw odds could be attractive given the visitors’ ability to hold opponents. Our final prediction: Athletic Bilbao B to win, but a cautious approach is advised as Real Union de Irun have shown they can score on the road.