Atlas Women - Puebla Women prediction 26 October 2026

The Atlas Women vs Puebla Women prediction for Oct 26, 2026 at 23:00 UTC in Liga MX Women points to Atlas Women as the likely winner at Estadio Jalisco in Guadalajara. Based on available odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home advantage, Atlas Women has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Puebla Women has a 17% chance.

This match at the 56,713-capacity grass Estadio Jalisco offers a clear betting angle: Atlas Women are the bookmakers' favorite and hold the stronger recent head-to-head edge.

Team Form

Atlas Women enter the game with a mixed run of D, L, D, W, D over their last five Liga MX Women matches. Their most recent result was a 1-1 home draw with Club Leon Women on Oct 23, 2026. Before that they lost 1-0 at Unam Pumas Women on Oct 18, drew 0-0 with Club Leon Women on Oct 3, won 1-0 at Queretaro Women on Sep 26, and drew 2-2 at Club America Women on Sep 20.

Puebla Women are in much weaker form with D, L, L, L, L in their last five. They drew 1-1 at home against Tijuana Women on Oct 17, lost 1-0 at Santos Laguna Women on Oct 3, lost 2-1 at home to Monterrey Women on Sep 27, lost 2-0 at Unam Pumas Women on Sep 20, and lost 6-2 at home to Queretaro Women on Sep 13.

Head-to-Head Record

Atlas Women lead the recent head-to-head record with 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss against Puebla Women in the last four meetings.

• Feb 10, 2026: Puebla Women 2-1 Atlas Women
• Jul 25, 2025: Atlas Women 2-0 Puebla Women
• Jan 26, 2025: Puebla Women 0-3 Atlas Women
• Oct 18, 2024: Atlas Women 3-0 Puebla Women

League Table Positions

The supplied Liga MX Women standings do not include Atlas Women or Puebla Women in the top 12 overall, top 8 home, or top 8 away tables. Exact league positions and points gaps for both clubs are therefore unavailable from the given data.

Win Probability: Atlas Women or Puebla Women?

Who will win? The initial odds-based calculation using the available 1X2 odds as the base and normalized to remove the bookmaker margin gives around a 53% chance for Atlas Women, 30% for the draw, and 17% for Puebla Women. Because Atlas Women have 3 wins in the last 4 head-to-head meetings, home advantage at Estadio Jalisco, and Puebla Women have lost four of their last five league matches, the model is adjusted.

Final outcome probabilities: Atlas Women has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Puebla Women has a 17% chance. Atlas Women are the more likely match winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available 1X2 betting odds range from 1.67 to 1.75 for Atlas Women, 2.60 to 4.50 for the draw, and 5.00 to 6.00 for Puebla Women. Bookmakers see Atlas Women as the favorite.

Based on the stats, the final Atlas Women vs Puebla Women prediction is a home win for Atlas Women. Betting tips: the home win is the main pick, while the draw is the secondary option because Atlas Women have drawn three of their last five league matches.