Barquisimeto SC - Atletico El Vigia prediction 3 October 2026
Barquisimeto SC
Atletico El Vigia
La Real FronteraBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCDeportivo LaraYaracuyanosBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaClub Atletico BarinasBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCUrenaZamora FC Barinas IIBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCAcademia Puerto Cabello BBarquisimeto SCLa Real FronteraDeportivo LaraBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCYaracuyanosAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCClub Atletico BarinasUrenaBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCZamora FC Barinas IIClub Atletico BarinasAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaUrenaBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaZamora FC Barinas IIAcademia Puerto Cabello BAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaLa Real FronteraDeportivo LaraAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaYaracuyanosAtletico El VigiaClub Atletico BarinasAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCZamora FC Barinas IIAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaAcademia Puerto Cabello BLa Real FronteraAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaDeportivo LaraYaracuyanosAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SCAtletico El VigiaBarquisimeto SC| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Lara | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 56:24 | +32 | 70 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto SC | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 58:36 | +22 | 56 |
| 3 |  Yaracuyanos | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 50:31 | +19 | 55 |
| 4 |  Urena | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 46:43 | +3 | 48 |
| 5 |  Monagas SC B | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 39:28 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 44 |
| 7 |  Aragua FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 31:21 | +10 | 43 |
| 8 |  Zamora FC B | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 51:47 | +4 | 43 |
| 9 |  Petare FC | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33:24 | +9 | 42 |
| 10 |  Bolรญvar | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 |  Dynamo Puerto | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:30 | +3 | 36 |
| 12 |  Club Atletico Barinas | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Academia Puerto Cabello B | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 39:53 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 |  Mineros De Guayana | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 |  Marรญtimo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 20 |
| 16 |  La Real Frontera | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 27:74 | -47 | 15 |
| 17 |  Atletico Avila | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 13:36 | -23 | 14 |
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC Prediction (May 20)
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC prediction: On May 20, Atletico El Vigia host Barquisimeto SC in the Venezuela Segunda Division. Our analysis gives Barquisimeto SC a clear 65% win probability, with Atletico El Vigia at 15% and a draw at 20%.
Team Form
Atletico El Vigia enter this match after a difficult run. Their last three results before the fixture were a 0โ1 home loss to La Real Frontera (May 3), a 0โ1 away defeat at Academia Puerto Cabello Reserves (May 10), and a 1โ1 home draw with Zamora FC Barinas II (May 16). That sequence reads LโLโD, highlighting real problems in both attack and defence.
Barquisimeto SC arrive with mixed recent form. Their most recent away match before this clash was a 2โ1 loss at Club Atletico Barinas on May 16. Overall, the team have recorded wins against La Real Frontera (2โ1) and a pair of losses, showing inconsistency but still boasting far superior numbers over the season.
Head-to-Head Record
The headโtoโhead record heavily favours Barquisimeto SC. In nine historical meetings, the visitors have won five times, Atletico El Vigia three, with one draw. The last four encounters (all in the Segunda Division) ended: Barquisimeto SC 2โ1 Atletico El Vigia (Oct 2024), Atletico El Vigia 1โ1 Barquisimeto SC (Aug 2025), Barquisimeto SC 1โ0 Atletico El Vigia (Sep 2025), and Atletico El Vigia 1โ2 Barquisimeto SC (Mar 2026). Barquisimeto SCโs away wins in this fixture have been a consistent pattern.
League Table Positions
Barquisimeto SC sit second in the Segunda Division with 28 points from 15 matches (8 wins, 4 draws, 3 losses). They have scored 22 goals and conceded only 12. Atletico El Vigia are not among the top 12 teams in the standings, suggesting they occupy a much lower position. The gulf in class is evident: Barquisimeto are genuine promotion contenders, while the hosts are struggling at the wrong end of the table.
Win Probability: Atletico El Vigia or Barquisimeto?
We calculate win probabilities based on form, league positions, and headโtoโhead record. The numbers are:
- Atletico El Vigia win: 15%
- Draw: 20%
- Barquisimeto SC win: 65%
Barquisimeto SCโs high probability comes from their strong secondโplace standing, a dominant H2H tally (5 away wins in 9 meetings), and Atletico El Vigiaโs poor recent form. Despite home advantage, Atletico have lost four of their last five overall and find it hard to keep clean sheets. A draw remains a realistic possibility (20%), but the evidence points clearly to an away win.
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC Prediction & Odds
Exact odds for this fixture are not available in our data, but bookmakers would undoubtedly install Barquisimeto SC as the favourites. Considering the stats, the safest betting angle is an away victory. Our match prediction, therefore, is a win for Barquisimeto SC. The final score is likely to reflect the visitorsโ superiority in what could be a lowโscoring but decisive affair.
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC โ FAQ
- Who will win Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC?
- According to our analysis, Barquisimeto SC has a 65% chance to win, a draw is at 20%, and Atletico El Vigia has a 15% chance. Barquisimetoโs superior league position and head-to-head record make them the strong favorite.
- What is the win probability for Barquisimeto SC?
- Barquisimeto SC have a 65% win probability. This high percentage reflects their 2nd place in the Segunda Division standings and a dominant head-to-head record โ 5 away wins in 9 meetings with Atletico El Vigia.
- When is the Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto SC match?
- The match is scheduled for May 20 at 21:30 local time. It is a Segunda Division fixture in Venezuela.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Exact odds are not available in our data for this match. Based on form and statistics, Barquisimeto SC would be clear bookmakersโ favorites.
- What is the head-to-head record between these teams?
- In nine all-time meetings, Barquisimeto SC have 5 wins, Atletico El Vigia have 3 wins, and there has been 1 draw. Barquisimeto have dominated recent clashes, winning three of the last four encounters.