Boyaca Chico - Atletico Nacional Medellin prediction 17 October 2026
Boyaca Chico
Atletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca Chico
Atletico BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoCucuta DeportivoDeportes TolimaBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoDeportivo PastoClub Deportivo Los MillonariosBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoAlianza PetroleraBoyaca ChicoEDP Independiente MedellinBoyaca ChicoOnce CaldasRionegro AguilasBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoFortaleza ZipaquiraJaguares de CordobaBoyaca ChicoIndependiente Santa FeBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoAlianza PetroleraAtletico Nacional MedellinEDP Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinDeportivo PastoCucuta DeportivoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinEDP Independiente MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinDeportivo PastoAtletico Nacional MedellinDeportes TolimaAtletico Nacional MedellinCD Junior FCAtletico Nacional MedellinChapecoense SCAtletico Nacional MedellinClub Deportivo Los MillonariosLlaneros FCAtletico Nacional MedellinInter Bogota FCAtletico Nacional MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinRionegro AguilasAtletico Nacional MedellinDeportivo CaliAlianza PetroleraAtletico Nacional Medellin- 6J. DรญazM
- 1D. AgudeloG
- 14C. BlancoD
- 8S. SalazarM
- 21J. PimentelF
- 17E. SarriaM
- 42S. MeraM
- 5J. AlomรญaD
- 24C. MosqueraD
- 4J. MenaD
- 10Y. Cabrera
- 11D. Ramรญrez
- 9I. Camargo
- 2D. Polanco
- 15S. Navarro
- 12B. Zapata
- J. Pimentel Betancourt
- 80J. ZapataM
- 4C. HaydarD
- 34F. ArmaniG
- 10E. CardonaM
- 22E. CabreraM
- 19J. RengifoF
- 3N. ParraD
- 31X. RiosM
- 20M. CascoD
- 29A. Sarmiento
- 25L. Marquinez
- 13N. Rodrรญguez
- 30K. Parra
- 33S. Velรกsquez
- 26F. Marin
Boyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca ChicoAtletico Nacional MedellinBoyaca Chico| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 |
| 2 |  CD Junior FC | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 |
| 5 |  Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 |
| 8 |  Inter Bogota FC | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 |
| 11 |  EDP Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 |
| 12 |  Rionegro Aguilas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 |  Atletico Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Llaneros FC | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Boyaca Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction (Oct 17)
The Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin prediction for October 17, 2026, points towards an away victory in this Primera A clash. Based on the league table, recent form, and head-to-head record, Atletico Nacional Medellin enters the match as the clear favorite with a win probability of 62%, while Boyaca Chico faces an uphill battle at home.
Team Form
Boyaca Chico's recent form has been poor, with three losses, one draw, and one win in their last five matches (L, D, W, L, L). Their most recent outing was a 0-1 home defeat against Cucuta Deportivo on October 12. Atletico Nacional Medellin, on the other hand, is unbeaten in their last five, recording four draws and one win (D, D, W, D, D). They drew 0-0 at home against Deportivo Pasto on October 11.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record heavily favors Atletico Nacional Medellin. In the last 11 meetings, Atletico Nacional Medellin has 7 wins, Boyaca Chico has 1, and 3 matches ended in a draw. The most recent encounter on July 25, 2026, finished 0-0. Before that, Atletico Nacional Medellin secured a dominant 4-0 home win on January 17, 2026.
League Table Positions
Atletico Nacional Medellin sits at the top of the Primera A overall standings with 40 points from 19 matches (13 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). Boyaca Chico is not in the top 12 of the overall table. Atletico Nacional Medellin's away form is strong, ranked 2nd with 15 points from 10 away games (5 wins, 5 losses).
Win Probability: Boyaca Chico or Atletico Nacional Medellin?
After analyzing all available data, the win probabilities are: Boyaca Chico has a 15% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Atletico Nacional Medellin has a 62% chance. This calculation is based on the implied probabilities from the best available odds, adjusted for Atletico Nacional Medellin's superior league position, dominant H2H record, and Boyaca Chico's poor recent form.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Atletico Nacional Medellin as the favorite. The available odds show an away win as low as 1.78, a draw around 2.22, and a home win for Boyaca Chico as high as 7.50. Based on the stats, an away win for Atletico Nacional Medellin is the most likely match outcome.
Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin โ FAQ
- Who will win Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin?
- Atletico Nacional Medellin is the strong favorite to win. The calculated probabilities give Atletico Nacional Medellin a 62% chance, a draw a 23% chance, and Boyaca Chico a 15% chance.
- What is the win probability for Atletico Nacional Medellin?
- Atletico Nacional Medellin has a 62% chance of winning. This high probability is driven by their top position in the Primera A league table, a dominant head-to-head record with 7 wins in 11 matches, and Boyaca Chico's poor recent form.
- When is the Boyaca Chico vs Atletico Nacional Medellin match?
- The match is scheduled for October 17, 2026, with a kick-off time of 21:00 local time (+01:00). It is a Primera A fixture in Colombia.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The odds for an Atletico Nacional Medellin away win are as low as 1.78, a draw is around 2.22, and a home win for Boyaca Chico is priced as high as 7.50. These odds reflect Atletico Nacional Medellin's status as the clear favorite.