Atletico Rafaela - Patronato Parana prediction 31 October 2026

The Atletico Rafaela vs Patronato Parana prediction for October 31, 2026, points towards a closely contested Primera Nacional match. Based on the latest odds and team form, the draw is the most likely outcome with a 48% probability, while Atletico Rafaela holds a slight edge over Patronato Parana for the win.

Team Form

Atletico Rafaela's recent form has been inconsistent. Their last five matches show a pattern of D, W, L, L, L. They managed a 1-1 draw away at CA Colegiales on Oct 25 and a 1-0 home win against Quilmes on Oct 17, but suffered three defeats, including a heavy 4-0 loss to CA Ferrocarril Midland on Oct 10.

Patronato Parana's form is also mixed with results of L, L, W, L, W in their last five. They are coming off a 0-2 home loss to Agropecuario on Oct 25 and a 0-1 away loss to Tristan Suarez on Oct 17. However, they secured a solid 2-0 home win against Club Atletico Guemes on Oct 11.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these two teams is limited, with only one recent meeting. On June 14, 2026, Patronato Parana and Atletico Rafaela played out a 0-0 draw in the Primera Nacional. This result suggests a tight matchup with few goals.

League Table Positions

In the overall Primera Nacional standings, Atletico Rafaela is not in the top 12, but their home form is strong. They rank 7th in the home table with 36 points from 17 games (11 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses), scoring 22 goals and conceding 12. Patronato Parana does not appear in the top 12 of the overall, home, or away standings provided, indicating a lower league position and a weaker campaign so far.

Win Probability: Atletico Rafaela or Patronato Parana?

Atletico Rafaela has a 31% chance of winning, the draw is at 48%, and Patronato Parana has a 21% chance. This calculation is based on the provided odds, which heavily favor the draw with an average price around 1.84. Atletico Rafaela's strong home record (7th in the home table) boosts their chances above the visitors, while Patronato Parana's poor away form and lower league standing reduce their win probability. The previous 0-0 head-to-head draw further supports the high likelihood of a stalemate.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see the draw as the clear favorite. The available odds show the draw priced at 1.85, 1.88, and 1.80, while a home win for Atletico Rafaela is around 3.25–3.45 and an away win for Patronato Parana is 3.20–3.50. Based on the stats, the most probable match outcome is a draw. A low-scoring game is expected, and a 1-1 or 0-0 correct score prediction aligns with the teams' recent performances and head-to-head history.