CF Caravaggio SC - Atletico Tubarao SC prediction 15 July 2026

Atletico Tubarao SC vs CF Caravaggio SC prediction for the Campeonato Catarinense Serie B match on Jul 15, 2026, at 22:00. Our analysis gives Atletico Tubarao SC a 40% chance of winning, with a draw at 30% and CF Caravaggio SC at 30%. The home side is the favorite, but the visitors' strong away form makes this a tight contest.

Team Form

Atletico Tubarao SC's last five matches: L, W, W, W, L. They lost 2-3 at home to Metropolitano SC on Jul 12, beat Nacao SC 1-0 (home), won 3-0 at Jaragua SC, won 2-0 at Juventus Jaragua do Sul SC, and lost 2-3 at home to Blumenau SC on Jun 17. Overall, three wins and two losses, with both defeats coming at home. In the league this season, they are unbeaten in four home games (2W, 2D), but that recent loss is a concern.

CF Caravaggio SC's last five: L, L, W, W, D. They lost 1-2 away to Metropolitano SC on Jul 5, lost 2-3 at home to Guarani de Palhoca SC, won 2-1 away at Blumenau SC, beat Fluminense SC 1-0 at home, and drew 2-2 at home with Hercilio Luz SC on May 31. Their away record in the league is impressive: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses from five matches, but they did lose their most recent away game.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met once before, on May 24, 2026, in this same competition. That match ended in a 2-2 draw. With only one encounter, there is no clear historical edge for either side.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Catarinense Serie B standings, CF Caravaggio SC sits 3rd with 18 points from 9 games (5W, 3D, 1L), while Atletico Tubarao SC is 5th with 14 points (3W, 5D, 1L). Caravaggio has a superior goal difference (+15 vs +4). At home, Atletico Tubarao SC is 3rd with 8 points from 4 games (2W, 2D, 0L). Away, Caravaggio is 2nd with 11 points from 5 games (3W, 2D, 0L). Both teams are tough to beat in these situations.

Win Probability: Atletico Tubarao SC or CF Caravaggio SC?

Based on the odds, form, and league data, we calculate the following win probabilities: Atletico Tubarao SC has a 40% chance of winning, the draw is at 30%, and CF Caravaggio SC has a 30% chance. The bookmakers' odds (2.15 home, 3.10 draw, 3.10 away) imply a 42% home win probability after removing the margin, but we have adjusted downward slightly due to Atletico Tubarao SC's recent home loss and Caravaggio's strong away record. Overall, Atletico Tubarao SC is the more likely winner, but the match is far from one-sided.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Atletico Tubarao SC as the favorite, with best odds around 2.15 for a home win. A draw is priced at 3.10, and an away win also at 3.10. Our prediction: based on the stats, Atletico Tubarao SC to win is the most probable outcome, but a draw is a strong possibility. For betting tips, the double chance 1X (home or draw) could be a safer option.