FK Babrungas Plunge - Atmosfera Mazeikiai prediction 11 September 2026

This FK Babrungas Plunge vs Atmosfera Mazeikiai prediction covers the 1 Lyga match on Sep 11, 2026 (15:00 UTC). FK Babrungas Plunge enters as the favorite with a 60% win probability, while Atmosfera Mazeikiai faces an uphill battle. Read on for team form, head-to-head stats, odds, and our full match analysis.

Team Form

FK Babrungas Plunge's recent form reads L, W, D, W, L. They lost away to BFA Vilnius (2-1) and Dainava Alytus (2-1), but impressed with a 4-0 away win at Neptunas Klaipeda and a 1-0 win at Garliava. Their only home match in this run was a 1-1 draw with FK Tauras Taurage.

Atmosfera Mazeikiai's form is W, L, D, L, D. They beat FK Tauras Taurage 3-1 at home, but lost 3-1 away to Neptunas Klaipeda and 2-0 at FK Transinvest B. Two draws (1-1 vs Dainava Alytus and FA Siauliai B) show they can be resilient but struggle for consistency.

Head-to-Head Record

FK Babrungas Plunge dominates the head-to-head with 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. The last meeting on May 9, 2026 ended 1-1. In September 2025, Babrungas won 3-0 at home. The previous five encounters have seen two Babrungas wins and three draws, highlighting the away side's difficulty in beating this opponent.

League Table Positions

FK Babrungas Plunge sits 2nd in the 1 Lyga with 55 points from 23 matches (17 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 39 goals and conceded just 9. At home, they are unbeaten with 9 wins and 2 draws, a goals record of 20-2.

Atmosfera Mazeikiai is 9th with 29 points (8 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses; 34 goals for, 29 against). Their away record is 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses, with 18 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Win Probability: FK Babrungas Plunge or Atmosfera Mazeikiai?

FK Babrungas Plunge has a 60% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Atmosfera Mazeikiai has a 15% chance. This calculation starts from the bookmaker odds (1.65 home, 3.45 draw, 4.30 away), normalized to remove the margin, then adjusted for Babrungas' dominant home form (9 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), the head-to-head record (no losses in 6 meetings), and the 26-point gap in the league table. The home side's defensive solidity (only 2 goals conceded at home all season) makes an away win highly unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have FK Babrungas Plunge as the clear favorite at 1.65, with a draw at 3.45 and an Atmosfera Mazeikiai win at 4.30. Our prediction aligns with the odds: based on the stats, FK Babrungas Plunge is the most likely winner. The draw is a plausible outcome, given the three draws in the last five head-to-head meetings, but the home side's form and league position strongly point to a home victory.