TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc - Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap prediction 6 October 2026

TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc vs Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap prediction for the Vietnam Cup match on October 6, 2026, at 12:00. Our analysis gives TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc a 55% chance to win, with a draw at 28% and Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap at 17%.

Team Form

TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc

The home side has struggled recently, losing four of their last five matches. Their form line reads L, L, L, L, W. The only victory came against Dong Tam Long An (3-0) on May 30, 2026, in V-League 2. Since then, they suffered defeats to Xuan Thien Phu Tho FC Gia Dinh (0-1), The Cong Viettel FC (0-2), Hong Linh Ha Tinh (0-1), and Cong An Ha Noi (0-3). Notably, the last three losses were against V-League opponents, indicating a step up in competition. Over these five games, TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc scored 3 goals and conceded 7.

Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap

The away team's recent form is also poor: L, W, D, L, L. They beat Hue FC 2-0 on September 11, 2026, in V-League 2, but lost to Thai Nguyen (0-3) on September 27. Earlier friendlies saw a 2-2 draw with Dong Tam Long An and defeats to Cong An Ho Chi Minh City FC (0-1) and Becamex Binh Duong HCMC (1-2). Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap has scored 5 goals and conceded 8 in their last five outings, with only one clean sheet.

Head-to-Head Record

In 20 previous meetings, TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc has won 11, Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap has won 6, and 3 ended in draws. The last five encounters:

• Apr 12, 2026: Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap 0-0 TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc (V-League 2)
• Feb 27, 2026: TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc 5-1 Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap (V-League 2)
• Apr 26, 2025: TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc 2-0 Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap (V-League 2)
• Jan 24, 2025: Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap 0-1 TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc (V-League 2)
• Mar 9, 2024: TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc 1-0 Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap (V-League 2)

TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc has won the last four home matches against this opponent, scoring 9 goals and conceding just 1. The most recent meeting ended in a goalless draw away, but the home side’s dominance at their own ground is clear.

Win Probability: TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc or Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap?

Based on odds, form, and head-to-head data, we calculate the following win probabilities for this Cup match:

• TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc: 55%
• Draw: 28%
• Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap: 17%

The home team is the clear favorite. Bookmakers’ odds imply a home win probability around 52%, but we adjusted it upward due to TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc’s dominant home record in this fixture. Both teams are in poor form, but the home side’s historical edge and home advantage tip the balance. Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap’s away struggles further reduce their chances.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ 1X2 odds for this match (from selected bookmakers):

• Home win: 1.73 (or 1.29/1.28 at other books)
• Draw: 2.50 (or 5.00/4.60)
• Away win: 7.50 (or 7.50/8.00)

The odds clearly favor TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc. The best home win price is 1.73, while Aurora Saigon United FC Dong Thap is a big underdog at 7.50. Based on the stats, TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc is the more likely winner, but the draw odds of 2.50 suggest a tight contest is possible. Our prediction: TT Dong Nai FC Binh Phuoc to win.