Our Austria U19 vs Denmark U19 prediction for this Friendly International match on Sep 30 at 13:00 is a tight contest, with Austria U19 holding a slight edge. Based on our win probability analysis, Austria U19 has a 38% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Denmark U19 has a 34% chance.
Austria U19's recent form shows three wins and two losses in their last five matches. They suffered back-to-back 2-3 defeats against Germany U19 on Mar 31, but before that, they secured impressive victories: a 4-0 win over Bosnia-Herzegovina U19, a 3-0 win over Sweden U19, and a 2-1 away win against Israel U19.
Denmark U19's last five results are mixed: one draw, two wins, and two losses. They drew 0-0 with Italy U19 on Jul 8, beat Wales U19 3-0, but lost 0-3 to Spain U19 and 3-4 to Germany U19. Their most recent win was a 2-1 victory over Czech Republic U19 on Mar 31.
The head-to-head record between Austria U19 and Denmark U19 is perfectly balanced, with one win each and no draws. Their most recent meeting was in the Euro Championship U19 Qualification on Mar 25, 2025, where Denmark U19 won 2-1. Austria U19 won the previous encounter 2-0 back in March 2022.
This is a Friendly International match, so there are no league table positions or points to compare. Both teams will use this fixture to test tactics and build form outside of competitive qualification campaigns.
We calculate the win probability based on available odds, recent form, and the head-to-head record. The average bookmaker odds imply a very even match. After normalizing the inverse odds to remove the margin, and adjusting for Austria U19's stronger recent goal-scoring form at home and the balanced H2H, we arrive at the following probabilities: Austria U19 win โ 38%, Draw โ 28%, Denmark U19 win โ 34%. Austria U19 has a slight advantage, but this is a match that could easily go either way.
Bookmakers see this as an incredibly close match. The best available odds are: Austria U19 win at 2.89, Draw at 3.56, and Denmark U19 win at 2.39. The odds suggest Denmark U19 is a marginal favorite in the market, but the high draw odds indicate bookmakers expect a result. Based on the stats, Austria U19's recent high-scoring home wins give them a narrow edge, but Denmark U19's win in the most recent H2H cannot be ignored. Our prediction is a closely fought contest where Austria U19 has a slightly higher chance of winning, but a draw is a very realistic outcome.