| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.32 | 5.40 | |
| 1.50 | 2.38 | 5.00 | |
| 1.41 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 | |
| 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 | |
| 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 | |
| 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 30 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 | |
| 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 40 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 42 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 | |
| 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 44 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 | |
| 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 46 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 | |
| 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 | |
| 51 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 | |
| 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 | |
| 54 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
Our Ireland vs Austria prediction for the UEFA Nations League match on October 1, 2026, at Aviva Stadium points to a closely contested affair. Austria is the slight favorite with a 35% win probability, while Ireland has a 30% chance, and the draw stands at 35%.
Ireland's last five matches show a solid run of results:
That's three wins, one draw, and one defeat, with the only loss coming away to Kosovo. Ireland have kept two clean sheets in that period and scored 10 goals.
Austria's recent form is more mixed:
Two wins, one draw, and two losses. The victories came at home in the Nations League, but away from home Austria have struggled, losing to Spain and Argentina and drawing with Algeria.
There is no recent head-to-head record between Ireland and Austria. The two sides have not met in any competitive fixture covered by our data, so this encounter offers a fresh matchup.
In the overall UEFA Nations League standings, Austria sit 6th with 6 points from two wins (goals 6-2). Ireland are not in the top 12, having collected 3 points from one win and one defeat in their two Nations League matches. The table suggests Austria have made the stronger start to the campaign.
Based on the odds, team form, league positions, and home advantage, we calculate the following win probabilities:
Austria are the narrow favorites thanks to their perfect Nations League record and slightly superior odds. However, Ireland's home form (wins over Qatar and Grenada) and Austria's poor away results pull the draw probability up to 35%, making a stalemate just as likely as an away win.
Bookmakers' average odds for the match are: Ireland 3.43, draw 2.29, Austria 2.51. The low draw odds underline how tight the market expects this game to be. Our Ireland vs Austria prediction: a draw is the single most probable outcome, but Austria's quality gives them a slight edge. Betting tip: Double chance โ Austria or Draw.