Cuiaba MT - Avai SC prediction 11 October 2026
Cuiaba MT
Avai SC
America Mineiro MGCuiaba MTLondrina PRCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAvai SCVila Nova GOCuiaba MTCuiaba MTPonte Preta SPCRB ALCuiaba MTCuiaba MTNautico PEGremio Novorizontino SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAthletic Club MGCriciuma SCCuiaba MTBotafogo SPCuiaba MTCuiaba MTGoias GOCuiaba MTOperario PRCeara CECuiaba MTCuiaba MTFortaleza CEAvai SCBotafogo SPAvai SCAthletic Club MGCuiaba MTAvai SCAvai SCLondrina PRAvai SCCeara CECriciuma SCAvai SCGoias GOAvai SCAvai SCVila Nova GOFortaleza CEAvai SCGremio Novorizontino SPAvai SCAvai SCAtletico Goianiense GOPonte Preta SPAvai SCAvai SCSport Recife PEOperario PRAvai SCAvai SCCRB ALCuiaba MTAvai SCAvai SCCuiaba MTAvai SCCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAvai SCCuiaba MTAvai SCCuiaba MTAvai SCAvai SCCuiaba MTCuiaba MTAvai SCAvai SCCuiaba MT| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gremio Novorizontino SP | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 62:30 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova GO | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 50:36 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 41:23 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 |  Fortaleza CE | 35 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 61 |
| 5 |  Criciuma SC | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 36:30 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  CRB | 35 | 16 | 7 | 12 | 53:49 | +4 | 55 |
| 7 |  Sport Recife PE | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 47:38 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  Atletico Goianiense GO | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 42:33 | +9 | 54 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias GO | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 |  Sao Bernardo SP | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 49:39 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40:38 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba MT | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 32:27 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 40:40 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico PE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara CE | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina PR | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 44:51 | -7 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro MG | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:54 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta SP | 35 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 21:76 | -55 | 15 |
Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC Prediction (Oct 11)
Our Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC prediction for the Serie B match on October 11, 2026, at Arena Pantanal points to a home win with a 50% probability. Bookmakers' odds of 1.67 for a Cuiaba MT victory reflect their strong home form, while Avai SC's poor away record makes them heavy underdogs.
Team Form
Cuiaba MTโs last five matches (all competitions/Serie B): D (0-0 vs Vila Nova GO away), W (2-0 vs Ponte Preta SP home), L (0-3 vs CRB AL away), W (3-0 vs Nautico PE home), D (1-1 vs Gremio Novorizontino SP away). At home, they have two convincing wins and a clean sheet, showing solidity at Arena Pantanal.
Avai SCโs last five: W (2-1 vs Londrina PR home), L (0-1 vs Ceara CE home), L (0-3 vs Criciuma SC away), L (1-2 vs Goias GO away), D (1-1 vs Vila Nova GO home). Their away form is a major concern โ three defeats and no clean sheets in their last three road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
In eight previous meetings, Cuiaba MT have won 5, Avai SC 2, with 1 draw. The most recent clash was on Jun 21, 2026, when Avai SC won 1-0 at home. However, the last match at Arena Pantanal (Apr 11, 2025) ended 2-2. Historically, the home side has a clear advantage in this fixture.
League Table Positions
Cuiaba MT sit 10th in Serie B with 47 points from 32 matches (11 wins, 14 draws, 7 losses, goals 32-25). Avai SC are outside the top 12, implying a lower position and fewer points. The gap in league standing further supports the home teamโs favourite status.
Win Probability: Cuiaba MT or Avai SC?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head and home advantage, the win probabilities are: Cuiaba MT 50%, draw 35%, Avai SC 15%. The calculation starts from the inverse of the bookmaker odds (home 1.67, draw 2.10, away 5.50), normalized to remove the margin, and then adjusted for the home sideโs stronger recent form and Avai's travel struggles. Cuiaba MT are the clear favourites to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds at the time of writing are: home win 1.67, draw 2.10, away win 5.50. Bookmakers see Cuiaba MT as the overwhelming favourite. Our pick, based on all available stats, is a home victory for Cuiaba MT.
Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC โ FAQ
- Who will win Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC?
- Cuiaba MT have a 50% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Avai SC only 15%. The home sideโs solid form at Arena Pantanal and Avai's poor away performances make Cuiaba the likely winners.
- What is the win probability for Cuiaba MT?
- Cuiaba MTโs win probability is 50%. This figure comes from normalising bookmaker odds (1.67) and adjusting for their strong home record (wins over Ponte Preta and Nautico) against an Avai side that has lost three of their last four away matches.
- When is the Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC match?
- The match kicks off on October 11, 2026, at 22:30 local time (BST+1) at Arena Pantanal in Cuiabรก, Mato Grosso. It is a Brazilian Serie B fixture.
- What are the odds for Cuiaba MT vs Avai SC?
- Current odds are 1.67 for a Cuiaba MT win, 2.10 for a draw, and 5.50 for an Avai SC victory. These odds clearly indicate a strong home favourite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Cuiaba MT and Avai SC?
- In eight previous meetings, Cuiaba MT have won 5 times, Avai SC 2, with 1 draw. The last match (Jun 21, 2026) ended 1-0 to Avai SC at their home, but the last match in Cuiabรก was a 2-2 draw.