Chauray - Avranches prediction 2 October 2026
Chauray
AvranchesChaurayAvranchesChauray
Les HerbiersChaurayUS GranvillaiseLa Roche Vendee FootballChaurayChaurayStade PoitevinSoyaux AngoulemeChaurayChauraySaint MaloSaumurChaurayChaurayChateaubriantBordeauxChaurayChaurayAvranchesLes HerbiersChaurayChaurayAviron BayonnaisAS MontlouisChaurayChaurayDinan LehonAvranchesTarbesChaurayAvranchesSaint-Colomban LocmineAvranchesAvranchesSoyaux AngoulemeAvranchesRouenStade Lavallois Mayenne FCAvranchesAvranchesBordeauxUS GranvillaiseAvranchesLes HerbiersAvranchesAvranchesAviron BayonnaisAS MontlouisAvranchesAvranchesDinan LehonLorient IIAvranchesAvranchesSoyaux AngoulemeAvranchesSaint-Colomban LocmineChaurayAvranchesChaurayAvranches| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Maur Lusitanos | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 |
| 2 |  AS Furiani-Agliani | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:4 | +10 | 14 |
| 3 |  Racing Club de France 92 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Entente Feignies-Aulnoye | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |  Chambly | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10:5 | +5 | 12 |
| 6 |  Creteil | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |  Dieppe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Biesheim | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 8 |
| 9 |  Haguenau | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 |  AS Montlouis | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 |  Epinal | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Le Pays du Valois | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Bastia Borgo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 |  Colmar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 |  St-Pryve St-Hilaire | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |  Chantilly | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:19 | -15 | 1 |
Chauray vs Avranches Prediction (Oct 2)
The Chauray vs Avranches prediction for the National 1 match on Oct 2, 2026 at 19:00 points to a tight contest. Based on the odds, recent form, and head-to-head record, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 38% probability, while Chauray has a 32% chance and Avranches 30%.
Team Form
Chauray come into this match with a poor run of results: L, L, L, W, D in their last five outings. They lost 1-2 at home to Les Herbiers on Sep 11, fell 0-1 to US Granvillaise on May 16, and were beaten 1-4 by La Roche Vendee on May 9. A 2-1 home win over Stade Poitevin on May 2 and a 2-2 draw at Soyaux Angouleme on Apr 24 provided some relief. Avranches have also struggled, posting L, D, L, L, D. They lost 0-1 at Saint-Colomban Locmine on Sep 18, drew 1-1 at home to Soyaux Angouleme on Aug 29, lost 0-2 to Rouen in a friendly on Jul 31, lost 1-2 at Laval in a friendly on Jul 22, and drew 3-3 at home to Bordeaux on May 16. Both sides are searching for consistency.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met only once before, on Mar 21, 2026 in National 2. Chauray won that home match 1-0, giving them a 1-0-0 head-to-head advantage.
League Table Positions
Neither Chauray nor Avranches appear in the top 12 of the National 1 overall, home, or away standings. This suggests both are positioned in the lower half of the table, adding extra importance to this fixture.
Win Probability: Chauray or Avranches?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and head-to-head, we calculate the following probabilities: Chauray win 32%, draw 38%, Avranches win 30%. The draw is the single most likely outcome, reflecting the teams' similar struggles and the lack of a clear favourite. Chauray's home advantage and their previous 1-0 H2H win give them a slight edge over Avranches in the win market, but the margin is small.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varied odds for this National 1 clash. One bookmaker lists home win at 3.30, draw at 2.00, and away win at 3.20; another has 2.70, 3.00, and 2.45 respectively. The short draw price with the first bookmaker underscores the expectation of a stalemate. Based on the stats, the most probable result is a draw, with a low-scoring affair likely given both teams' recent struggles in front of goal.
Chauray vs Avranches โ FAQ
- Who will win Chauray vs Avranches?
- Based on our analysis, a draw is the most likely result with a 38% probability. Chauray has a 32% chance of winning, while Avranches has a 30% chance. The match is expected to be very close.
- What is the win probability for Chauray?
- Chauray has a 32% chance of winning the match. This slight edge over Avranches comes from home advantage and their 1-0 victory in the only previous head-to-head meeting.
- When is the Chauray vs Avranches match?
- The match is on Oct 2, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a National 1 fixture in France.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary between bookmakers. One offers home win at 3.30, draw at 2.00, and away win at 3.20. Another lists 2.70 for a home win, 3.00 for a draw, and 2.45 for an away win.