| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | |
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 | |
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Lusitania Lourosa vs Avs Futebol Sad prediction for the Segunda Liga match on September 7, 2026 at 17:00. Based on the data, Lusitania Lourosa are the clear favorites with a 55% win probability, while Avs Futebol Sad have only a 20% chance. The draw sits at 25%.
Lusitania Lourosa come into this match in strong form. Their last four Segunda Liga results: a 2-0 away win at Academica Coimbra, a 2-2 home draw with SCU Torreense, a 1-0 away win at Amarante, and a 2-0 home win over Porto B. That is 10 points from 12 available, with seven goals scored and only two conceded. They are unbeaten in the league this season.
Avs Futebol Sad have been less consistent. Their last four league matches: a 2-0 home win against ะกะ Feirense, a 2-2 away draw at Chaves, a 1-1 away draw at Felgueiras, and a 0-1 home loss to Sporting Lisbon B. That is one win, two draws, and one loss, with five goals scored and four conceded. Away from home they have drawn twice and lost once in the league this season.
The teams have faced each other only once before, in a friendly match on August 6, 2019. Lusitania Lourosa won that game 1-0 at home. The small H2H sample favours the home side.
Lusitania Lourosa are 3rd in the Segunda Liga with 10 points from 4 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses). They have scored 7 goals and conceded only 2, giving them the best defensive record among the top teams. Avs Futebol Sad are not in the top 12 of the current standings, indicating a lower position in the table. The home advantage and the significant gap in the table make Lusitania Lourosa the stronger side on paper.
Lusitania Lourosa have a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 25%, and Avs Futebol Sad have a 20% chance. These probabilities are calculated from the bookmaker odds (home 2.27, draw 3.33, away 3.78), with the implied probabilities adjusted for the teamsโ current form, the head-to-head record, league standings, and the home advantage for Lusitania Lourosa. The adjustment significantly boosts the home win percentage because Lusitania Lourosa are unbeaten in the league, sit 3rd, and have a perfect away record that complements their solid home performances. Avs Futebol Sadโs lower league position and mixed away form reduce their chance of an upset.
Bookmakers see Lusitania Lourosa as the favourite, offering odds of 2.27 for a home win, 3.33 for a draw, and 3.78 for an away win. The odds reflect the information available, but the true probability based on stats points even more strongly to a home victory. The final prediction: based on the stats, Lusitania Lourosa to win is the most likely outcome. A draw cannot be ruled out completely, but an Avs Futebol Sad away win would be a surprise given the data.