Iraklis Gerolakkou - Ayia Napa prediction 18 September 2026
Iraklis Gerolakkou
Ayia NapaIraklis Gerolakkou
Enosis Neon ParalimniAkritas ChlorakasIraklis GerolakkouASIL LysiIraklis GerolakkouIraklis GerolakkouAyia NapaHalkanorasIraklis GerolakkouHalkanorasIraklis GerolakkouIraklis GerolakkouApea AkrotiriouDigenis Akritas MorphouIraklis GerolakkouEthnikos LatsionIraklis GerolakkouIraklis GerolakkouSpartakos KitiouIraklis GerolakkouHalkanorasApea AkrotiriouIraklis GerolakkouIraklis GerolakkouDigenis Akritas MorphouAE ZakakiouIraklis GerolakkouIraklis GerolakkouEthnikos LatsionAyia NapaDigenis Akritas MorphouDoxa KatokopiasAyia NapaAyia NapaEnosis Neon ParalimniIraklis GerolakkouAyia NapaAyia NapaASIL LysiKarmiotissa PolemidionAyia NapaAyia NapaMEAP NisouAyia NapaAls OmoniaAyia NapaDoxa KatokopiasPAEEKAyia NapaAyia NapaNea SalamisASIL LysiAyia NapaAyia NapaKarmiotissa PolemidionMEAP NisouAyia NapaAls OmoniaAyia NapaIraklis GerolakkouAyia NapaIraklis GerolakkouAyia Napa| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Enosis Neon Paralimni | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | +6 | 13 |
| 2 |  Ethnikos Achnas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | +11 | 12 |
| 3 |  PAEEK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 |
| 4 |  Doxa Katokopias | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:8 | +5 | 11 |
| 5 |  Apea Akrotiriou | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6 |  Ermis | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 |  ASIL Lysi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Iraklis Gerolakkou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Digenis Akritas Morphou | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 |  Akritas Chlorakas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  Halkanoras | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 |  Spartakos Kitiou | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Ayia Napa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 |  Anagennisi Deryneia | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 |  AEP Polemidion | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
| 16 |  MEAP Nisou | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:13 | -12 | 1 |
Iraklis Gerolakkou vs Ayia Napa Prediction (Sep 18)
The Iraklis Gerolakkou vs Ayia Napa prediction for the Cyprus 2nd Division match on Sep 18 at 16:00 points to a home win as the most probable outcome. Our analysis gives Iraklis Gerolakkou a 40% chance of winning, a draw 35%, and Ayia Napa a 25% chance.
Team Form
Iraklis Gerolakkou's recent form reads W, D, L, L, D. Their latest result was a convincing 2-0 away victory against Halkanoras on Sep 12, 2026. Before that, they drew 0-0 at Halkanoras in April, lost 0-2 at home to Apea Akrotiriou, lost 1-0 away to Digenis Akritas Morphou, and drew 0-0 at Ethnikos Latsion. The team shows resilience on the road but has been inconsistent overall.
Ayia Napa, on the other hand, are in dreadful shape with five consecutive losses: L, L, L, L, L. They started their 2026 campaign with a 1-3 home defeat to ASIL Lysi on Sep 12. Prior to that, they lost 3-0 at Karmiotissa Polemidion, 0-2 at home to MEAP Nisou, 0-2 at home to Als Omonia, and 1-2 at home to Doxa Katokopias. The away side's fragile defense and lack of results are significant red flags.
Head-to-Head Record
Only one previous head-to-head meeting exists in our data. On Oct 18, 2025, Iraklis Gerolakkou lost 2-4 at home to Ayia Napa in the 2nd Division. That away win gives Ayia Napa a historical edge, but the match is almost a year old and features two teams in very different form now.
League Table Positions
After matchday 1, Iraklis Gerolakkou sit 5th in the overall standings with 3 points, having won their only game 2-0. Ayia Napa's exact position is not available in the current standings data, though they have yet to register a point this season.
Win Probability: Iraklis Gerolakkou or Ayia Napa?
Using the available odds as a starting point, the implied probabilities after removing the bookmaker margin are roughly 27.7% for a home win, 42.4% for a draw, and 29.9% for an away win. However, current form heavily favors Iraklis Gerolakkou. Their recent win and Ayia Napa's five-game losing streak tilt the balance. We therefore adjust the probabilities to: Iraklis Gerolakkou win โ 40%, draw โ 35%, Ayia Napa win โ 25%. The home side emerges as the most likely winner, although a draw remains a realistic possibility.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' 1X2 odds range between 3.10 and 3.25 for a home win, 2.02 and 2.15 for a draw, and 2.90 and 3.00 for an away win. The odds clearly suggest the draw is the bookmakers' favorite. Nevertheless, based on the stats and the teams' contrasting form, the best betting tip points towards a home win. Our final prediction: Iraklis Gerolakkou to win, with the match potentially seeing under 2.5 goals given both sides' recent low-scoring outputs.
Iraklis Gerolakkou vs Ayia Napa โ FAQ
- Who will win Iraklis Gerolakkou vs Ayia Napa?
- Based on our win probability calculation, Iraklis Gerolakkou has a 40% chance of winning, a draw sits at 35%, and Ayia Napa has a 25% chance. The home team is more likely to win, but a draw is also a strong possibility.
- What is the win probability for Iraklis Gerolakkou?
- Iraklis Gerolakkou has a 40% win probability. This higher chance is driven by their 2-0 away victory in the most recent match and Ayia Napa's five consecutive losses, which indicate a clear form disparity.
- When is the Iraklis Gerolakkou vs Ayia Napa match?
- The match is scheduled for Sep 18, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. It will take place as part of the Cyprus 2nd Division.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers present odds around 3.10โ3.25 for a home win, 2.02โ2.15 for a draw, and 2.90โ3.00 for an away win. The draw is the market's favorite, though our analysis leans toward a home win value.