Azam FC - Mbeya City prediction 28 October 2026
Azam FC
Mbeya CityAzam FC
ZED FC MarsAzam FCMashujaa FCZED FC MarsAzam FCAzam FCSimba SCAzam FCNamungo FCKagera SugarAzam FCGeita GoldAzam FCAzam FCPamba SCAzam FCTabora United FCPolisi Tanzania FCAzam FCSimba SCAzam FCAzam FCDodomaYoung Africans SC MbagalaAzam FCAzam FCYoung Africans SC MbagalaAzam FCMashujaa FCSimba SCMbeya CityJkt Tanzania Ruvu StarsMbeya CityMbeya CityKagera SugarPolisi Tanzania FCMbeya CityTabora United FCMbeya CitySingida Fountain Gate FCMbeya CityMbeya CityMashujaa FCMbeya CityDodomaMbeya CityGeita GoldTanzania PrisonsMbeya CityMbeya CityTanzania PrisonsMbeya CityTabora United FCDodomaMbeya CityPamba SCMbeya CityMbeya CitySimba SC| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | 2.20 | 7.50 | |
| 1.93 | 2.15 | 7.25 | |
| 1.88 | 2.10 | 7.70 | |
| 1.85 | 2.15 | 6.50 | |
| 1.27 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
Mbeya CityAzam FCAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityMbeya CityAzam FCAzam FCMbeya CityMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya CityAzam FCMbeya City| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | +15 | 24 |
| 2 |  Young Africans | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:5 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 |  Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 5 |  Dodoma | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 |
| 6 |  Polisi Tanzania FC | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:11 | +1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Namungo FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 |  Mashujaa FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 9 |  Singida Black Stars SC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Coastal Union | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 12 |  Geita Gold | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 13 |  Tabora United FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 |  Pamba SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 15 |  Kagera Sugar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |  Singida Fountain Gate FC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
Azam FC vs Mbeya City Prediction (Oct 28)
Azam FC vs Mbeya City prediction for the Premier League clash on Oct 28 at 15:30. Bookmakers and recent form point toward a home victory, and we estimate Azam FC has a 62% chance of winning, a draw at 24%, and Mbeya City at 14%.
Team Form
Azam FC's last five results across all competitions read W-D-D-L-W, showing a solid but mixed spell that includes matches against teams like Simba SC and Namungo FC. Their most recent outing was a 1-0 home win against ZED FC Mars in the CAF Confederation Cup on Oct 24, preceded by a 0-0 Premier League draw with Mashujaa FC at home.
Mbeya Cityโs form is a concern for their traveling fans: D-L-L-L-D in their last five, all in the Premier League. They managed a commendable 0-0 draw at Simba SC on Oct 23, but that was surrounded by defeats including a 3-1 home loss to Kagera Sugar and a 2-1 defeat at Jkt Tanzania Ruvu Stars.
Head-to-Head Record
The H2H favors Azam FC heavily. Across 26 meetings, Azam FC have won 12, Mbeya City just 1, with 13 draws. The last two league meetings in 2026 saw a 0-0 draw away in April and a 2-0 Azam FC home win in September 2025. In December 2022, Azam FC hammered Mbeya City 6-1 at home.
League Table Positions
Azam FC sits 3rd in the Premier League table with 17 points from 8 matches (5 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). They are 7 points behind leaders Simba. Mbeya City is 10th with 10 points from 8 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses). The home/away split widens the gap: Azam FC are 5th in the home standings (3 wins, 1 loss from 4 matches), while Mbeya City are 7th in the away standings (1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses from 4).
Win Probability: Azam FC or Mbeya City?
Based on available odds, form, H2H dominance, and league positions, we calculate the outcome probabilities as: Azam FC win 62%, draw 24%, Mbeya City win 14%. The odds implied probabilities (after removing the average bookmaker margin) placed Azam FC around 60-62%, and we have tilted marginally in their favor due to their superior league position, H2H record (12 wins to 1), and Mbeya City's poor recent results. Mbeya City's only path to points looks like a low-scoring draw, as they achieved at Simba SC, but an away win is highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
Odds from various bookmakers show Azam FC as clear favorites, with home win prices ranging from 1.42 to 1.95. The draw is priced around 2.10 to 3.75, and an Mbeya City away win is a distant 6.50 to 8.00. Our prediction: based on the stats, Azam FC are the strong favorites and should win this match. The value might be limited on the home win at short odds, but the match outcome market leaves little doubt about the likely winner.
Azam FC vs Mbeya City โ FAQ
- Who will win Azam FC vs Mbeya City?
- Azam FC is the heavy favorite to win. Our win probability model gives Azam FC a 62% chance of victory, a draw 24%, and Mbeya City just 14%. This is based on odds, league positions, and a head-to-head record where Azam FC have won 12 of 26 meetings.
- What is the win probability for Azam FC?
- Azam FC has a 62% chance to win against Mbeya City. This high probability is driven by their 3rd-place league position, strong home form, and a dominant H2H record that includes only 1 loss in 26 matches against Mbeya City.
- When is the Azam FC vs Mbeya City match?
- The match is scheduled for Oct 28, 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 local time. It is a Premier League fixture in Tanzania.
- What are the odds for Azam FC vs Mbeya City?
- Bookmakers offer varying odds: home win (Azam FC) between 1.42 and 1.95, the draw between 2.10 and 3.75, and an away win (Mbeya City) between 6.50 and 8.00. These prices reflect Azam FC's status as clear favorites.