AZS Krakow Women - Lech Poznan Women prediction 21 October 2026

AZS Krakow Women vs Lech Poznan Women prediction for the Ekstraklasa Women match on October 21, 2026, at 18:00. Based on our analysis, AZS Krakow Women has a 45% chance of winning, while Lech Poznan Women has a 25% chance, with a 30% probability of a draw.

Team Form

AZS Krakow Women's recent form shows one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches (L, W, L, D, L). They lost 3-0 away to GKS Katowice Women on October 18, beat Sleza Wroclaw Women 4-1 at home on October 4, lost 2-0 at Czarni Sosnowiec Women on September 27, drew 1-1 at Rekord Bielsko-Biala Women on August 22, and lost 4-1 at home to Pogon Szczecin Women on August 16.

Lech Poznan Women are in poor form with four losses and one draw in their last five outings (L, L, D, L, L). They lost 3-1 at home to Pogon Szczecin Women on October 17, lost 3-1 away to APLG Gdansk Women on October 3, drew 2-2 away at AZS Slask Wroclaw Women on September 27, lost 3-0 at home to Gornik Leczna Women on August 22, and lost 4-3 away to Legia Warszawa Women on August 15.

Head-to-Head Record

In the last three head-to-head meetings, Lech Poznan Women have the edge with one win and two draws. The most recent match on February 28, 2026, saw Lech Poznan Women win 4-1 at home. Before that, the teams drew 1-1 on August 17, 2025, and 1-1 on May 11, 2025, both at AZS Krakow Women's ground. AZS Krakow Women have yet to beat Lech Poznan Women in this fixture.

League Table Positions

AZS Krakow Women sit 6th in the Ekstraklasa Women table with 10 points from 7 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). Their home record is strong: 2 wins and 1 loss in 3 games, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Lech Poznan Women are 10th with just 4 points from 7 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 5 losses). Their away form is particularly weak – they are not in the top 8 of the away standings and have lost four of their last five away games.

Win Probability: AZS Krakow Women or Lech Poznan Women?

We calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: AZS Krakow Women win – 45%, draw – 30%, Lech Poznan Women win – 25%. These figures start from the bookmaker odds (home 2.38, draw 2.40, away 3.75), which imply a 38.1% home win, 37.8% draw, and 24.2% away win after removing the margin. We then adjust for current form and home/away factors. AZS Krakow Women's decent home record (2 wins in 3) and Lech Poznan Women's terrible away form (no wins in last five away matches) shift the probabilities in favor of the home side. Although Lech Poznan Women have a positive H2H record, the overall season performance and home advantage make AZS Krakow Women the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer odds around 2.38 for an AZS Krakow Women win, 2.40 for the draw, and 3.75 for a Lech Poznan Women victory. These odds indicate a close contest, with the home side as a slight favorite. Based on the stats, our prediction leans towards a home win for AZS Krakow Women, but the draw remains a strong possibility given the H2H history of stalemates.