Bali United Persisam - Persijap Jepara prediction 10 October 2026

Our Bali United Persisam vs Persijap Jepara prediction for the Liga 1 match on October 10, 2026, points firmly toward a home victory. Based on bookmaker odds, current team form, and head-to-head history, Bali United Persisam has a 62% win probability, while Persijap Jepara's chances are slim at just 13%.

Team Form

Bali United Persisam’s recent results have been mixed across all competitions, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings (L, W, W, L, L). Their last five matches are:

• Sep 20: Borneo Samarinda 1 – 0 Bali United Persisam (L)
• Sep 12: Adhyaksa Farmel FC 1 – 4 Bali United Persisam (W)
• Sep 4: Bali United Persisam 2 – 1 PSS Sleman (W)
• Aug 18: Bali United Persisam 2 – 3 Persib Bandung (Friendly, L)
• Aug 13: Bali United Persisam 1 – 2 Sabah FA FC (Friendly, L)

In Liga 1 alone, they have won two of three, including a home victory. Their home league form is perfect: two wins from two, with six goals scored and only two conceded.

Persijap Jepara are in a deep slump, failing to win any of their last five fixtures (L, L, L, D, D):

• Sep 20: Persijap Jepara 1 – 2 Persib Bandung (L)
• Sep 12: Persijap Jepara 0 – 1 Borneo Samarinda (L)
• Sep 6: Madura United 2 – 0 Persijap Jepara (L)
• May 23: Persib Bandung 0 – 0 Persijap Jepara (D)
• May 17: Persijap Jepara 0 – 0 Borneo Samarinda (D)

The visitors have scored just once in those five games, while conceding five.

Head-to-Head Record

Bali United Persisam and Persijap Jepara have met twice in Liga 1, with the home side remaining unbeaten:

• Feb 28, 2026: Bali United Persisam 0 – 0 Persijap Jepara (D)
• Oct 19, 2025: Persijap Jepara 1 – 2 Bali United Persisam (W for Bali United)

Overall, Bali United hold a 1–1–0 head-to-head advantage over Persijap Jepara, including a win on the road.

League Table Positions

In the Liga 1 overall standings, Bali United Persisam sit 6th with 6 points from 3 matches (2 wins, 1 loss). They are only 4 points behind leaders Dewa United Banten FC. Their home record is especially strong – they rank 3rd in the home table with a perfect 6 points from two games. Persijap Jepara do not appear in the top 12 of the league, indicating a significantly lower position and a struggling campaign so far.

Win Probability: Bali United Persisam or Persijap Jepara?

Our calculated win probabilities are: Bali United Persisam 62%, draw 25%, Persijap Jepara 13%. This assessment starts from the average bookmaker odds (1.41 home, 2.94 draw, 5.48 away). After removing the margin and normalizing, the implied chances were adjusted upward for the home side thanks to their perfect home league record, head-to-head superiority, and Persijap Jepara’s dreadful run of five winless games. Consequently, a home win is by far the most probable outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Bali United Persisam as the clear favourite. The best available odds for a home win hover around 1.22, with some firms going as high as 1.48. The draw is priced broadly between 2.35 and 4.12, while an away win for Persijap Jepara can be backed at 5.00 to 6.00. Based on the stats – dominant home form, a struggling opponent, and a positive H2H – our prediction sides with the market. Bali United Persisam are expected to secure all three points in this Liga 1 encounter.