Persita Tangerang - Bali United Persisam prediction 25 October 2026

On Oct 25 at 08:30, Persita Tangerang faces Bali United Persisam in Liga 1. Our Persita Tangerang vs Bali United Persisam prediction gives the home side a 45% chance of winning, the draw a 35% chance, and the away side a 20% chance, based on form and the head-to-head record.

Team Form

Persita Tangerang are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning three and drawing two. They beat Persija Jakarta 3–2, Garudayaksa 2–1, and Malut United 3–2, while drawing 2–2 at PSM Makassar and 1–1 at PSIM Yogyakarta.

Bali United Persisam have three wins and two defeats in their last five. They won 5–0 against Garudayaksa and 6–1 against Persijap Jepara, plus a 4–1 victory at Adhyaksa Farmel FC, but lost 3–2 at Malut United and 1–0 at Borneo Samarinda.

Head-to-Head Record

Bali United Persisam dominate this matchup with six wins and five draws from eleven meetings; Persita Tangerang have never beaten them. The last encounter on Apr 23 ended 1–0 to Bali United Persisam, while the reverse fixture on Oct 25, 2025 finished 0–0. Three other recent games include a 1–1 draw on Mar 2, 2025, a 1–0 Bali win on Oct 20, 2024, and a 3–0 Bali win on Oct 30, 2023.

League Table Positions

In the overall Liga 1 standings, Persita Tangerang sit 3rd with 11 points from five games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 11 goals scored, 8 conceded). Bali United Persisam are 7th with 9 points (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses, 14 scored, 7 conceded). At home, Persita are perfect with 3 wins from 3, while Bali United Persisam also have a 100% home record but their away results are not detailed in the table.

Win Probability: Persita Tangerang or Bali United Persisam?

Persita Tangerang has a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 35%, and Bali United Persisam has a 20% chance. These percentages are derived from the inverse of available odds (home 2.80, draw 2.25, away 2.62), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, then adjusted upward for Persita's strong home form (three wins from three) and downward for Bali United Persisam’s poor head-to-head record away to this opponent. Despite Bali’s historical dominance, Persita’s current unbeaten run and home advantage make them the more likely winner in this fixture.

Odds & Match Prediction

Prematch odds show Persita Tangerang at 2.80, the draw at 2.25, and Bali United Persisam at 2.62. Bookmakers see the draw as the most probable single outcome, but our analysis suggests a home win is slightly more likely based on the stats. Taking team form and the head-to-head into account, the best betting tips point toward a Persita Tangerang win or draw double chance.