FK Hegelmann Litauen - Baltija Panevezys prediction 7 September 2026

FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Baltija Panevezys prediction for the A Lyga match on Sep 07, 2026, at 15:45. Based on the odds and team stats, a draw is the most likely outcome with a 38% probability, while FK Hegelmann Litauen has a 35% chance to win and Baltija Panevezys 27%.

Team Form

FK Hegelmann Litauen are struggling for form. In their last five matches, they have two draws and three defeats (D,D,L,L,L). They drew 2-2 at Dziugas Telsiai and 1-1 at home to Banga Gargzdai, but lost 0-2 at Kauno Zalgiris, 1-2 at home to Transinvest, and 2-3 at home to Zalgiris Vilnius. Over these five games, they scored 6 goals and conceded 10, failing to keep a clean sheet.

Baltija Panevezys have managed two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five (W,L,L,W,D). They beat Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 at home and Transinvest 2-0 away, but suffered 0-2 defeats at Suduva Marijampole and 0-1 at Siauliai, as well as a 1-1 home draw with Dziugas Telsiai. Their away form has been inconsistent, with just one win in the last three away fixtures.

Head-to-Head Record

The overall head-to-head between these teams is balanced: in 25 meetings, FK Hegelmann Litauen have 6 wins as the home team, Baltija Panevezys have 8 away wins, and 11 matches ended in draws. The most recent five encounters: a 1-1 draw on Jul 04, 2026; a 3-2 home win for FK Hegelmann on May 06, 2026; a 1-1 draw on Mar 07, 2026; a 1-0 Cup win for Baltija Panevezys on Sep 28, 2025; and a 1-0 away win for FK Hegelmann on Sep 21, 2025. So draws are common, and both teams have managed wins.

League Table Positions

In the A Lyga, Baltija Panevezys sit 7th with 26 points (7W, 5D, 13L, goals 23:41), while FK Hegelmann Litauen are 8th with 24 points (4W, 12D, 10L, goals 29:44). Both have negative goal differences and are only two points apart. At home, FK Hegelmann have the 8th-best record: 2 wins, 8 draws, 3 losses in 13 games, scoring 17 and conceding 18. Baltija Panevezys are 8th in the away table with 3 wins, 0 draws, 10 losses, scoring 9 and conceding 29. So while FK Hegelmann are difficult to beat at home, they struggle to win; Baltija are very poor travelers, losing most of their away matches by multiple goals.

Win Probability: FK Hegelmann Litauen or Baltija Panevezys?

Based on the odds, form, H2H, and league positions, we calculate the probabilities as follows: FK Hegelmann Litauen has a 35% chance of winning, the draw is at 38%, and Baltija Panevezys has a 27% chance. The draw is the most likely outcome due to FK Hegelmann's tendency to draw at home (8 draws in 13 games) and Baltija's poor away form. However, FK Hegelmann are slight favorites to win if there is a winner, thanks to home advantage and Baltija's 10 away losses.

FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Baltija Panevezys Prediction

Bookmakers' odds for the match (1X2) average around: home win 2.33, draw 2.18, away win 3.06. The odds imply a close contest with a slight edge for the home side. Our FK Hegelmann Litauen vs Baltija Panevezys prediction: a draw looks the most probable result, but a narrow home win cannot be ruled out. Given the teams' scoring difficulties, Under 2.5 goals could also be a smart betting tip.