Baltija Panevezys - FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction 13 September 2026

The Baltija Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction for this A Lyga match on Sep 13, 2026, at 11:30 points to FK Kauno Zalgiris as the favorite with a 45% win probability. The game will be played in Lithuania, and bookmakers see the away side as clear frontrunners based on odds of 1.98 for an away win.

Team Form

Baltija Panevezys comes into this match on a three-game winning streak in the A Lyga. They beat FK Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 away, Banga Gargzdai 3-0 away, and Zalgiris Vilnius 2-0 at home. However, before that run they lost 2-0 at Suduva Marijampole and 1-0 at Siauliai Futbolo Akademija. Their last five results read W, W, W, L, L.

FK Kauno Zalgiris is unbeaten in their last three league outings: a 5-0 home win over Dziugas Telsiai, a 0-0 draw at Banga Gargzdai, and a 1-1 home draw with Transinvest. They also won a cup match 1-0 at Siauliai. The only recent defeat was a 2-1 home loss to Dinamo Zagreb in Champions League qualification. Their last five form string is W, W, D, D, L.

Head-to-Head Record

In 32 previous meetings, FK Kauno Zalgiris holds the edge with 13 wins to Baltija Panevezys' 10, along with 9 draws. The last five encounters show a clear pattern: FK Kauno Zalgiris won 3-0 at home in July 2026, drew 1-1 away in May 2026, won 4-0 at home in March 2026, won 3-2 at home in November 2025, and Baltija Panevezys won 1-0 at home in August 2025. The away team has won three of the last five H2H matches.

League Table Positions

FK Kauno Zalgiris sits 2nd in the A Lyga with 42 points from 24 matches (11 wins, 9 draws, 4 losses) and a goal difference of +30. Baltija Panevezys is 7th with 32 points from 27 games (9 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses) and a -13 goal difference. At home, Baltija Panevezys ranks 6th with 17 points from 12 matches (4W, 5D, 3L). FK Kauno Zalgiris away form is strong: 5th in the away table with 17 points from 10 games (4W, 5D, 1L).

Win Probability: Baltija Panevezys or FK Kauno Zalgiris?

Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and league positions, the win probabilities are: FK Kauno Zalgiris 45%, draw 35%, Baltija Panevezys 20%. The odds imply an away win chance of around 44%, and we have adjusted slightly upward due to FK Kauno Zalgiris' superior league standing, dominant recent H2H results, and solid away record. Baltija Panevezys' home resilience and current winning streak keep their chances at 20%, while the draw remains a significant possibility at 35%. FK Kauno Zalgiris is the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

The pre-match odds are: Baltija Panevezys win 4.90, draw 2.32, FK Kauno Zalgiris win 1.98. Bookmakers clearly see the away side as the favorite. Our Baltija Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris prediction aligns with that view: an away win is the most probable outcome, but the high draw probability suggests caution. Based on the stats, FK Kauno Zalgiris should have enough quality to secure the three points, though a low-scoring draw cannot be ruled out.