Bandirmaspor - Igdir Belediyespor prediction 24 October 2026

On October 24, 2026, at 11:30, Bandirmaspor host Igdir Belediyespor in Turkey's 1st League. This Bandirmaspor vs Igdir Belediyespor prediction analyses the odds, form, and head-to-head record to determine the most likely match outcome. Based on the available data, a draw is the most probable result, with a 43% chance, while Igdir Belediyespor holds a 33% win probability and Bandirmaspor sits at 24%.

Team Form

Bandirmaspor's recent form has been inconsistent. In their last five 1st League matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses (L, D, W, L, D). Most recently, they suffered a 2-1 away defeat to Bodrumspor on October 17. At home, they drew 1-1 with Sivasspor on October 13 and lost 1-0 to Umraniyespor on September 18, highlighting a struggle for consistency in front of their own fans.

Igdir Belediyespor, in contrast, are in strong form, with three wins and two draws in their last five games (W, D, W, D, W). Their latest result was a 1-0 home victory over Boluspor on October 18. Away from home, they have proven resilient, earning a 0-0 draw at Ankara Keciorengucu on October 14 and a 2-2 draw at Muglaspor on September 18, showing they can pick up points on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides heavily favors a stalemate. In their four previous 1st League meetings, Bandirmaspor have one win, while three matches ended in draws. Igdir Belediyespor are yet to win this fixture. The last three encounters all finished level: 0-0 on March 16, 2026, and two 1-1 draws on November 3, 2025, and April 14, 2025. Bandirmaspor's only victory came on December 7, 2024, a 1-0 away win.

League Table Positions

As it stands, Igdir Belediyespor sit 2nd in the league table with 23 points from 11 matches (7 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). Their away form is solid, with 8 points from 5 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss). Bandirmaspor are in 9th place with 14 points from 11 matches (3 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses). At home, they rank 8th, having collected 8 points from 6 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). The 9-point gap underlines the visitors' superior campaign so far.

Win Probability: Bandirmaspor or Igdir Belediyespor?

Calculating the win probability for this match, we start with the bookmaker odds as a base and adjust for team form and head-to-head trends. The average odds of 2.27 for a home win, 2.09 for the draw, and 3.33 for an away win imply a raw probability distribution. Removing the margin and factoring in Igdir Belediyespor's stronger league position (2nd vs 9th), their superior recent form (unbeaten in five vs Bandirmaspor's two losses in five), but also the historical head-to-head trend of three draws in the last four meetings and Bandirmaspor's home advantage, the final probabilities are as follows: Bandirmaspor has a 24% chance of winning, the draw has a 43% chance, and Igdir Belediyespor has a 33% chance. The draw is statistically the most likely outcome, but Igdir Belediyespor are more likely to win than Bandirmaspor based on current overall performance.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds: Bandirmaspor win at 2.30, a draw at 2.10, and an Igdir Belediyespor win at 3.30. The shortest odds are on the draw, which aligns with the high frequency of stalemates in this fixture's history. Bandirmaspor are slight favorites over the away side in the match market, but the odds suggest a very tight contest. Our prediction, based on the stats, is that a draw is the single most likely result, but Igdir Belediyespor's recent form makes them a strong value pick if one side is to edge it.