| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:7 | +7 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:6 | +6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | +2 | 9 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 | |
| 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:19 | -11 | 1 |
The Lamphun Warrior FC vs Bangkok United prediction for October 11, 2026, points towards an away victory in this Thai Premier League clash. Based on our win probability analysis, Bangkok United has a 52% chance of winning, while Lamphun Warrior FC sits at 24%, and the draw is at 24%. The match kicks off at 12:00 at Lamphun Warrior FC's home ground.
Lamphun Warrior FC are struggling for consistency, with their last five matches yielding three draws and two losses (D, L, L, D, D). They have managed just three goals in that period while conceding eight, highlighting defensive frailties. Their most recent outing was a 1-1 draw away at Rasi Salai United on September 19.
Bangkok United, in contrast, have been much more potent. Their last five results show three wins, one draw, and one loss (W, L, W, W, D). They have scored eight goals across these matches. Their latest fixture was a 3-2 home victory against BG Pathum United FC on September 20.
The head-to-head record heavily favors Bangkok United. In the last six meetings, Bangkok United have won four times, Lamphun Warrior FC have won once, and there has been one draw. The most recent encounter on February 28, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw. Before that, Bangkok United secured a thrilling 4-3 victory on October 26, 2025. Lamphun's sole win in this period came back on April 9, 2023, when they won 2-1 at home.
Bangkok United are currently 6th in the Premier League table with 6 points from 3 matches, having scored 6 goals and conceded 4. Their home form is perfect with two wins from two, but this match is away. Lamphun Warrior FC are not listed in the top 12 of the overall standings, indicating a poor start to the season. The gap in quality and points is significant, with Bangkok United firmly in the upper half of the table.
Our calculated win probabilities for this match are: Lamphun Warrior FC win 24%, draw 24%, Bangkok United win 52%. This assessment is derived from the available bookmaker odds, which we normalized to remove the margin. The best available odds imply a strong away favorite. We then adjusted for Bangkok United's superior recent form (three wins in five vs zero wins in five for Lamphun), their dominant head-to-head record (four wins in six), and a significant league table advantage. Despite playing away, Bangkok United's quality makes them the clear most likely winner.
Bookmakers see Bangkok United as the favorite. The best available odds for an away win are 1.93, while a home win for Lamphun Warrior FC is priced as high as 3.78, and the draw is at 3.50. Based on the stats, form, and head-to-head dominance, the most probable outcome is a Bangkok United victory. The value in the betting tips points towards backing the away side, though Lamphun's recent tendency to draw matches suggests a tight contest is possible.