Bangor FC - Larne prediction 24 October 2026

The Larne vs Bangor FC prediction for this Premiership match on Sep 08 at 18:45 points strongly towards a home victory. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and league table positions, Larne has a 75% chance of winning, while Bangor FC faces an uphill battle at Inver Park.

Team Form

Larne's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with their last five matches reading W, L, W, D, L. They secured a 2-1 home win against Glentoran in the Premiership on Sep 04, but suffered a 0-2 home loss to Lincoln Red Imps in the UEFA Conference League Qualification on Aug 27. Earlier, they beat Lincoln Red Imps 2-0 away on Aug 20 and drew 0-0 away at Coleraine on Aug 15. A heavy 0-5 defeat at Crvena Zvezda in the UEFA Champions League Qualification on Jul 29 rounds out their recent run.

Bangor FC's form is concerning for their supporters, with a sequence of D, L, L, L, W. They drew 2-2 at home against Ballymena United on Sep 05, then lost 0-4 at home to Carrick Rangers on Aug 29. Away defeats followed: 0-2 at Dungannon Swifts on Aug 22 and 0-3 at home to Cliftonville on Aug 15. A 2-1 friendly win at Ballinamallard United on Jul 31 was their only recent positive result.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors Larne. In their last five meetings, Larne has won 4, with 1 draw and Bangor FC yet to register a win. The most recent clash on Jan 23, 2026, saw Larne win 2-1 at home. The previous Premiership encounter on Oct 25, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw at Larne. On Sep 06, 2025, Larne won 2-0 away at Bangor FC. Older matches include a 6-0 friendly win for Larne on Jun 27, 2023, and a 5-0 Cup victory on Jan 08, 2022.

League Table Positions

In the Premiership standings, Larne sits in 8th place with 4 points from 2 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 0 losses), scoring 2 goals and conceding 1. Their home record is perfect: 1st out of 8 with 3 points from 1 game. Bangor FC is 10th with just 1 point from 4 matches (0 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses), scoring 2 and conceding 11. Their away form is not listed in the top 8, indicating significant struggles on the road.

Win Probability: Larne or Bangor FC?

Calculating the win probability from the available odds, form, and H2H record: Larne has a 75% chance of winning, the draw is at 17%, and Bangor FC has an 8% chance. The odds imply a dominant home probability (inverse of 1.20 is roughly 83%, adjusted for the bookmaker margin and Bangor's poor away form). Larne's strong H2H record (4 wins in 5) and Bangor's leaky defense (11 goals conceded in 4 league games) solidify Larne as the clear favorite to win this match.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Larne as the overwhelming favorite. The best available odds for a home win are 1.20, with the draw at 2.90 and an away win for Bangor FC at 9.50. Based on the stats, a home win is the most likely outcome. The match is expected to be controlled by Larne, and Bangor FC will need a significant improvement to take anything from Inver Park.