Casertana - Bari prediction 23 October 2026
Casertana
BariCasertanaBari
ASD Sorrento 1945CasertanaCasertanaAC MonopoliCavese 1919CasertanaCasertanaCataniaAudace CerignolaCasertanaCasertanaTeam AltamuraInter Milan U23CasertanaCasertanaScafateseSavoia 1908 FCCasertanaCasertanaBarlettaCasertanaSavoia 1908 FCSalernitanaCasertanaCasertanaSalernitanaCasertanaCrotoneCasertanaBariBariCrotoneBariFC Giugliano 1928SalernitanaBariBariCosenzaASD Sorrento 1945BariBariPotenzaTeam AltamuraBariBariS.S.D. Casarano CalcioBariAZ PicernoBarlettaBariBariCavese 1919BariS.S.D. Casarano CalcioLanciano FCBariSudtirolBariCasertanaBariCasertanaBariCasertanaBari| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cittadella | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 |  Trento Calcio 1921 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 17:6 | +11 | 23 |
| 3 |  Union Brescia | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 22 |
| 4 |  Arzignano Valchiampo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Treviso | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 19 |
| 6 |  ACD Ospitaletto | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 |
| 7 |  US Pergolettese | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 10:9 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |  Alcione | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |  Lecco | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 |  Albinoleffe | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16:15 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Desenzano Calvina | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 |  Lumezzane | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 |  Carpi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 |  Pro Vercelli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 |  Giana Erminio | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |  Novara | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 |  Dolomiti Bellunesi | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 10 |
| 18 |  Juventus U23 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 |
| 19 |  Folgore Caratese | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 7 |
| 20 |  Renate | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 5 |
Casertana vs Bari Prediction (Oct 23)
This Casertana vs Bari prediction for the Serie C match on October 23, 2026, sees Bari as the favorite with a 40% win probability, while Casertana has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 40%. The game kicks off at 19:30 local time in Italy.
Team Form
Casertana's last five matches: D, W, L, L, D. They drew 0-0 away at ASD Sorrento 1945 on Oct 18, beat AC Monopoli 3-1 at home on Oct 10, lost 2-0 at Cavese 1919 on Oct 3, lost 1-2 at home to Catania on Sep 27, and drew 0-0 at Audace Cerignola on Sep 19. Only one win in that run highlights their struggles.
Bari's last five matches: D, W, L, W, W. They drew 0-0 at home with Crotone on Oct 18, beat FC Giugliano 1928 2-0 at home on Oct 10, lost 2-1 at Salernitana on Oct 4, beat Cosenza 1-0 at home on Sep 26, and won 2-1 at ASD Sorrento 1945 on Sep 19. With three wins and a draw, Bari are in much stronger form.
Head-to-Head Record
These teams have met twice before, both in Serie C. Bari won both encounters comfortably: 2-0 on Nov 22, 2020, and 3-0 on Dec 15, 2019. Casertana are yet to score against Bari, losing both matches at home.
League Table Positions
Neither Casertana nor Bari appear in the top 12 of the current Serie C standings, indicating both sides are in the lower half of the table. The league leaders Cittadella have 24 points from 9 games, while the 12th-placed Lumezzane have 12 points from 10 matches. Casertana and Bari are below that threshold.
Win Probability: Casertana or Bari?
Based on the odds, team form, head-to-head record, and home/away factor, the win probabilities are: Casertana 20%, draw 40%, Bari 40%. The bookmakers' average odds (3.45 home, 2.04 draw, 2.71 away) implied a 25.2% chance for Casertana, 42.7% for the draw, and 32.1% for Bari after removing the margin. However, Bari's dominant head-to-head record (two wins without conceding) and superior recent form (three wins in five) justify an upward adjustment of their chances, while Casertana's poor H2H and inconsistent results lower their probability. The draw remains a strong possibility given both teams' tendency to share points in recent outings.
Odds & Match Prediction
Average match odds: Casertana win 3.45, draw 2.04, Bari win 2.71. Bookmakers see Bari as the favorite, but the low draw price reflects the expectation of a tight contest. Our prediction: based on the stats, Bari are more likely to win, but a draw is an equally probable outcome. The head-to-head history and form give Bari the edge, so a low-scoring away win or a stalemate are the most realistic scenarios.
Casertana vs Bari โ FAQ
- Who will win Casertana vs Bari?
- Bari has a 40% chance of winning, while Casertana has a 20% chance. The draw is also at 40%, making this a closely contested match. Bari's superior head-to-head record and recent form give them the edge.
- What is the win probability for Bari?
- Bari has a 40% chance to win the match. This probability reflects their strong form with three wins in the last five games and a perfect head-to-head record against Casertana, where they won both previous meetings without conceding.
- When is the Casertana vs Bari match?
- The match is on October 23, 2026, at 19:30 local time. It is a Serie C fixture in Italy.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The average odds are 3.45 for a Casertana win, 2.04 for a draw, and 2.71 for a Bari victory. These odds imply Bari as the favorite, but the draw is priced low, indicating a tight contest is expected.
- What is the head-to-head record between Casertana and Bari?
- In the last two meetings, Bari won both matches, scoring 2-0 on Nov 22, 2020, and 3-0 on Dec 15, 2019. Casertana have yet to win or draw against Bari.