Barito Putera - Persela Lamongan prediction 4 October 2026

The Barito Putera vs Persela Lamongan prediction for this Liga 2 match on Oct 4, 2026, points to a home advantage, but the visitors' strong form makes this a tight contest. Based on the latest odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Barito Putera have a 45% chance of winning, a draw is at 35%, and Persela Lamongan hold a 20% win probability.

Team Form

Barito Putera's last five matches show inconsistency: two wins, two draws, and one defeat. Their most recent results are:

• Sep 26: Kendal Tornado 2-2 Barito Putera (D)
• Sep 20: Deltras Raya Sidoarjo 3-2 Barito Putera (L)
• Sep 12: Barito Putera 3-2 Persipura Jayapura (W)
• May 3: Barito Putera 8-3 Persipal Palu BaBel United (W)
• Apr 25: Persela Lamongan 1-1 Barito Putera (D)

Persela Lamongan, on the other hand, are flying high with four wins and a draw in their last five outings. Their recent form includes:

• Sep 27: Persela Lamongan 6-0 PSBS Biak Numfor (W)
• Sep 19: Persiba Balikpapan 0-1 Persela Lamongan (W)
• Sep 13: Persela Lamongan 2-0 Persis Solo (W)
• Aug 29: Persela Lamongan 1-0 PSPS Pekanbaru (W) – Friendly
• May 6: Persela Lamongan 3-3 Deltras Raya Sidoarjo (D) – Friendly

Head-to-Head Record

The overall H2H record between these sides is perfectly balanced: 5 wins for Barito Putera, 5 wins for Persela Lamongan, and 9 draws. The last five meetings tell a story of tight contests:

• Apr 25, 2026: Persela Lamongan 1-1 Barito Putera (Liga 2)
• Jan 11, 2026: Persela Lamongan 0-0 Barito Putera (Liga 2)
• Oct 18, 2025: Barito Putera 0-1 Persela Lamongan (Liga 2)
• Feb 18, 2022: Persela Lamongan 2-4 Barito Putera (Liga 1)
• Oct 29, 2021: Barito Putera 1-1 Persela Lamongan (Liga 1)

In the last three Liga 2 encounters, Persela Lamongan have the edge with one win and two draws, suggesting they know how to frustrate Barito Putera.

Win Probability: Barito Putera or Persela Lamongan?

The win probability calculation starts with the bookmakers' odds. The average implied chances from the 1X2 market are roughly 49% for a home win, 34% for a draw, and 17% for an away win. However, adjusting for Persela Lamongan's excellent recent form (four wins in five) and Barito Putera's mixed home results, the draw and away win probabilities increase. Our final assessment gives Barito Putera a 45% chance of winning, the draw a 35% chance, and Persela Lamongan a 20% chance. While Barito Putera remain the most likely winners, the draw is a very realistic outcome.

Odds & Match Prediction

The available odds for this Liga 2 clash show Barito Putera as clear favorites. The home win is priced between 1.58 and 1.62, the draw around 2.28 to 2.38, and an away win for Persela Lamongan at 4.33 to 4.85. Bookmakers see a home victory as the most probable result. Based on the stats, Barito Putera are expected to win, but the draw odds could offer value given Persela Lamongan's strong away performances and the history of stalemates between these sides.