Scafatese - Barletta prediction 24 October 2026

The Scafatese vs Barletta prediction for this Serie C clash on October 24, 2026, at 13:30 leans towards a home win. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head record, Scafatese has a 47% chance of winning, the draw is at 33%, and Barletta has a 20% chance. Bookmakers also see Scafatese as the favorite, despite Barletta's slight historical edge.

Team Form

Scafatese enters the match in solid shape, unbeaten in their last five outings with two wins and three draws. Recent home results include a 3-2 victory over ASD Sorrento 1945 and a 2-0 win against Team Altamura, showing their attacking threat at home. They also managed a credible 2-2 draw away at Salernitana.

Barletta's recent form has been more inconsistent. In their last five matches, they recorded one win, two draws, and two losses. The 1-0 home win against AZ Picerno was a positive, but heavy defeats like the 4-1 home loss to Potenza highlight defensive vulnerabilities, especially on their travels.

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met just once before, on May 17, 2026, in Serie D. That match ended in a 1-1 draw, with Scafatese playing at home. This limited history suggests a tight contest, and the even scoreline does not give a clear favorite based on past meetings alone.

League Table Positions

Neither Scafatese nor Barletta appear in the top 12 of the available Serie C overall standings. This indicates both sides are likely in the mid-to-lower part of the table, making this a crucial match for points. The lack of detailed positional data prevents a deeper gap analysis, but the match's importance is high for both.

Win Probability: Scafatese or Barletta?

To calculate the win probability, we started with the implied odds from the bookmakers' average (home 2.43, draw 2.22, away 3.63), which came to approximately 41%, 45%, and 28% before removing the margin. After normalizing to 100%, the market-implied chances were roughly 38% for a Scafatese win, 42% for a draw, and 20% for a Barletta win. We then adjusted these based on team form—Scafatese's five-game unbeaten streak versus Barletta's two losses in five—and the home advantage. This gives Scafatese a boost, leading to our final probabilities: Scafatese win: 47%, Draw: 33%, Barletta win: 20%. Scafatese is the more likely winner, though the draw remains a significant possibility.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers' odds show Scafatese as the favorite with an average price around 2.43 for a home win. The draw is priced at 2.22, and a Barletta away win is at 3.65. These odds reflect the home side's stronger recent performances. Our prediction: based on the stats, Scafatese has the edge, but Barletta's ability to draw—as seen in their only H2H meeting—makes the double chance market interesting. A home win is the most likely single outcome.