Barra Mansa RJ - SE Buzios RJ prediction 28 September 2026
Barra Mansa RJ
SE Buzios RJ
SE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJPaduano RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJ7 De Abril RJFriburguense RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCampos RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJUni Souza FC RJUni Souza FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJ7 De Abril RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJFriburguense RJCampos RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJSE Paraty RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Buzios RJCardoso Moreira RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJRio Barra FCRio Barra FCSE Buzios RJBarcelona RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense RJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz FC RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense FC RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Paduano RJ | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo RJ | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos RJ | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 De Abril RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro RJ | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 | SE Buzios RJ | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 |  SE Paraty RJ | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ Prediction (Sep 28, 2026)
The Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ prediction for the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 match on Sep 28, 2026, at 18:45, points to a home advantage. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head records, Barra Mansa RJ has a 55% chance of winning, while SE Buzios RJ holds a 20% chance, and the draw is estimated at 25%.
Team Form
Barra Mansa RJ enters this match without a win in their last five outings (D, L, D, D, L). Their most recent result was a 2-2 away draw against Paduano RJ on Sep 20. At home, they have struggled, recording a 1-4 defeat against 7 De Abril RJ and a 2-2 stalemate with Campos RJ in their last two home fixtures.
SE Buzios RJ is in even poorer form, with a run of D, L, L, L, L across their last five matches. The teamโs only point in that stretch came from a 0-0 home draw with Serra Macaense FC RJ on Sep 20. Away from home, they have suffered consecutive defeats, conceding at least three goals in three of their last four road trips.
Head-to-Head Record
The two sides have met twice in 2026, and both encounters ended in SE Buzios RJ victories. On Jul 23, Barra Mansa RJ lost 0-2 at home, and on Jul 19, SE Buzios RJ triumphed 3-0 at their own stadium. The aggregate scoreline over these two matches is 5-0 in favor of SE Buzios RJ.
League Table Positions
In the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 standings, Barra Mansa RJ sits 10th with 3 points from 4 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; goals 5:8). SE Buzios RJ is last in 12th with 0 points (4 losses; goals 1:12). Barra Mansaโs home record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, while SE Buzios has lost both of their away matches without scoring a single point.
Win Probability: Barra Mansa RJ or SE Buzios RJ?
We calculate the match outcome probabilities as follows:
- Barra Mansa RJ win: 55%
- Draw: 25%
- SE Buzios RJ win: 20%
The odds imply a 57% home win chance after removing the bookmaker margin, but we adjusted slightly downward because the head-to-head record clearly favors SE Buzios RJ (two wins to nil). Home advantage, a marginally better league position, and SE Buziosโ terrible away form support Barra Mansa as the more likely winner, but the head-to-head gap keeps the probability below 60%.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer the following 1X2 odds:
- Barra Mansa RJ: 1.57
- Draw: 3.60
- SE Buzios RJ: 5.00
These prices reflect a strong home favourite status. Our Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ prediction based on all available data is a home win, but the head-to-head record introduces an element of risk. A double chance bet on Barra Mansa or draw (1X) could offer more security, while the draw itself appears undervalued relative to SE Buziosโ historical success in this fixture.
Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ โ FAQ
- Who will win Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ?
- Barra Mansa RJ is the favorite with a 55% win probability, while SE Buzios RJ has a 20% chance and the draw sits at 25%. The prediction leans toward a home victory, but SE Buzios won both previous meetings in 2026.
- What is the win probability for Barra Mansa RJ?
- Barra Mansa RJ has a 55% chance of winning this match. This figure comes from normalizing the 1.57 odds against the bookmaker margin, then slightly adjusting for the fact that SE Buzios RJ has beaten them in both head-to-head encounters this year.
- When is the Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ match?
- The match takes place on Sep 28, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It is a Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for Barra Mansa RJ vs SE Buzios RJ?
- Current 1X2 odds are 1.57 for a Barra Mansa RJ win, 3.60 for a draw, and 5.00 for a SE Buzios RJ victory. These odds show a clear home-favorite bias.
- What is the head-to-head record between Barra Mansa RJ and SE Buzios RJ?
- In two meetings in 2026, SE Buzios RJ won both: 2-0 away on Jul 23 and 3-0 at home on Jul 19. Barra Mansa RJ has yet to score a goal against this opponent.