Rio de Janeiro RJ - Barra Mansa RJ prediction 1 October 2026
Rio de Janeiro RJ
Barra Mansa RJRio de Janeiro RJ
7 De Abril RJFriburguense RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJCampos RJSE Paraty RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJSanta Cruz FC RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Belford Roxo RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Buzios RJ7 De Abril RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJSerra Macaense FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJMacae Esporte FC RJGoytacaz FC RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJPaduano RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJ7 De Abril RJFriburguense RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCampos RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJUni Souza FC RJUni Souza FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJRio de Janeiro RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense RJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz FC RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense FC RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Paduano RJ | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo RJ | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos RJ | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 De Abril RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Rio de Janeiro RJ | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |  SE Buzios RJ | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 |  SE Paraty RJ | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
Rio de Janeiro RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ Prediction (Oct 1)
The Rio de Janeiro RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ prediction for October 1, 2026, points towards a tight contest in the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2. Based on the latest odds and team form, Barra Mansa RJ enters the match as the favorite with a 46% win probability, while Rio de Janeiro RJ holds a 30% chance of victory at home.
Team Form
Rio de Janeiro RJ's recent form is a concern, with three losses in their last five matches (L, L, L, D, W). Their most recent outing was a 2-1 defeat away to Serra Macaense FC RJ on Sep 27. At home, they suffered a 3-1 loss to Santa Cruz FC RJ on Sep 21, but did manage a 3-1 win against SE Buzios RJ on Aug 31.
Barra Mansa RJ has been more resilient, recording one win and three draws in their last five (W, D, L, D, D). They secured a 1-0 home win over SE Buzios RJ on Sep 28 and earned a 2-2 draw away at Paduano RJ on Sep 20. Their only recent loss was a heavy 4-1 home defeat to 7 De Abril RJ on Sep 14.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced. In their two previous meetings, each team has one win. The most recent clash on Nov 7, 2024, saw Barra Mansa RJ dominate with a 4-1 home victory. Earlier, on Oct 16, 2023, Rio de Janeiro RJ won 2-1 at home in a Campeonato Carioca U20 fixture.
League Table Positions
In the overall league standings, Barra Mansa RJ sits 8th with 6 points from 5 matches (1W, 3D, 1L), having scored 6 and conceded 8. Rio de Janeiro RJ is 10th with 4 points (1W, 1D, 3L), scoring 5 and conceding 7. The home form table shows Rio de Janeiro RJ is not listed in the top 8, while Barra Mansa RJ ranks 6th at home. Away from home, Barra Mansa RJ is 8th with 2 points from 2 draws, indicating they are tough to beat on the road.
Win Probability: Rio de Janeiro RJ or Barra Mansa RJ?
Analyzing all available data, the win probabilities for this match are: Rio de Janeiro RJ 30%, Draw 24%, and Barra Mansa RJ 46%. This calculation is based on the inverse of the best available odds (home 3.20, draw 3.20, away 2.02), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for Barra Mansa's superior recent form and unbeaten away record this season. Rio de Janeiro's poor run of three losses in five games significantly lowers their chances, despite playing at home. Barra Mansa RJ is the more likely winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers see Barra Mansa RJ as the clear favorite, with the best away win odds at 2.02. The draw is priced around 3.20, and a home win for Rio de Janeiro RJ is at 3.20. Based on the stats, the prediction leans towards an away win or a draw. Barra Mansa's solid away form, with two draws from two games, and Rio de Janeiro's defensive struggles suggest the visitors will avoid defeat.
Rio de Janeiro RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ โ FAQ
- Who will win Rio de Janeiro RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ?
- Barra Mansa RJ is the favorite to win. Based on form, odds, and league positions, they have a 46% chance of winning, while Rio de Janeiro RJ has a 30% chance, and the draw is at 24%.
- What is the win probability for Barra Mansa RJ?
- Barra Mansa RJ has a 46% probability of winning this match. This is calculated from the betting odds and adjusted for their stronger recent form, which includes only one loss in five games.
- When is the Rio de Janeiro RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ match?
- The match is scheduled for October 1, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The best available odds are 3.20 for a Rio de Janeiro RJ win, 3.20 for a draw, and 2.02 for a Barra Mansa RJ win. These odds indicate Barra Mansa RJ is the favorite.