Santa Cruz FC RJ - Barra Mansa RJ prediction 12 October 2026
Santa Cruz FC RJ
Barra Mansa RJSanta Cruz FC RJ
Campos RJSE Paraty RJSanta Cruz FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJSanta Cruz FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJSanta Cruz FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Buzios RJSanta Cruz FC RJ7 De Abril RJSanta Cruz FC RJMacae Esporte FC RJMacae Esporte FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Paraty RJSanta Cruz FC RJ7 De Abril RJSanta Cruz FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJSerra Macaense FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJPaduano RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJ7 De Abril RJFriburguense RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCampos RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJUni Souza FC RJUni Souza FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense RJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz FC RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense FC RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Paduano RJ | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 |  SE Belford Roxo RJ | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos RJ | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 De Abril RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro RJ | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |  SE Buzios RJ | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 |  SE Paraty RJ | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ Prediction (Oct 12)
Our Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ prediction for October 12, 2026, in the Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 points to a home win. Based on the latest odds, form, and league table, Santa Cruz FC RJ has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Barra Mansa RJ has a 20% chance.
Team Form
Santa Cruz FC RJ comes into this match with a strong recent record, having won three of their last five matches. They secured victories against Cardoso Moreira RJ (1-0), Rio de Janeiro RJ (3-1), and SE Buzios RJ (3-0). However, they suffered two away defeats, losing 3-0 to both Serra Macaense FC RJ and SE Belford Roxo RJ.
Barra Mansa RJ has struggled for consistency, winning just one of their last five games. That lone win was a 1-0 home victory over SE Buzios RJ. They also recorded two draws, 0-0 against Cardoso Moreira RJ and 2-2 against Paduano RJ, but lost 2-0 to Rio de Janeiro RJ and were beaten 4-1 at home by 7 De Abril RJ.
Head-to-Head Record
There is no head-to-head history between Santa Cruz FC RJ and Barra Mansa RJ. The data shows zero wins, draws, or losses for either side, making this their first recorded meeting.
League Table Positions
Santa Cruz FC RJ sits 7th in the overall league table with 12 points from 7 matches, having won 4 and lost 3. Their home form is perfect, ranking 2nd with 3 wins from 3 games, scoring 6 goals and conceding none. Barra Mansa RJ is 10th overall with 7 points from 7 matches, winning just once, drawing four, and losing twice. They have scored only 6 goals while conceding 10.
Win Probability: Santa Cruz FC RJ or Barra Mansa RJ?
Santa Cruz FC RJ has a 52% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Barra Mansa RJ has a 20% chance. This calculation uses the inverse of the best available odds (home 1.92, draw 3.30, away 3.35), normalized to remove the bookmaker margin, and then adjusted for team form and league position. Santa Cruz's perfect home record, where they have yet to concede a goal, significantly boosts their probability. Barra Mansa's poor away form and low league standing reduce their chances, making the home side the clear favorite.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One set of odds prices a Santa Cruz FC RJ win at 2.50, a draw at 2.20, and a Barra Mansa RJ win at 3.75. Another bookmaker has the home win at 1.92, the draw at 3.30, and the away win at 3.35. Based on the stats, Santa Cruz FC RJ's flawless home defense and Barra Mansa RJ's struggles on the road suggest the hosts are the most likely winners. A low-scoring home victory is the most probable match outcome.
Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ โ FAQ
- Who will win Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ?
- Santa Cruz FC RJ is the favorite to win. Our analysis gives them a 52% win probability, compared to a 20% chance for Barra Mansa RJ and a 28% chance of a draw.
- What is the win probability for Santa Cruz FC RJ?
- Santa Cruz FC RJ has a 52% chance of winning. This is based on their perfect home record of 3 wins from 3 games with no goals conceded, combined with bookmaker odds and Barra Mansa RJ's lower league position.
- When is the Santa Cruz FC RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ match?
- The match is scheduled for October 12, 2026, at 19:00 local time. It is a Campeonato Carioca. Serie B2 fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Odds vary between bookmakers. One bookmaker offers 2.50 for a Santa Cruz FC RJ win, 2.20 for a draw, and 3.75 for a Barra Mansa RJ win. Another lists the home win at 1.92, the draw at 3.30, and the away win at 3.35.
- What is the head-to-head record between Santa Cruz FC RJ and Barra Mansa RJ?
- There is no previous head-to-head record between these two teams. The data shows zero wins for either side and no draws, indicating this is their first meeting.