SE Belford Roxo RJ - Barra Mansa RJ prediction 26 October 2026
SE Belford Roxo RJ
Barra Mansa RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJ
Paduano RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJSerra Macaense FC RJ7 De Abril RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJCardoso Moreira RJSE Belford Roxo RJRio de Janeiro RJSE Paraty RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJGoytacaz FC RJGoytacaz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJSerra Macaense FC RJMacae Esporte FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJRio de Janeiro RJGoytacaz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJSE Belford Roxo RJSanta Cruz FC RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSerra Macaense FC RJSanta Cruz FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJRio de Janeiro RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJPaduano RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJ7 De Abril RJFriburguense RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCampos RJBarra Mansa RJSE Buzios RJSE Buzios RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJUni Souza FC RJUni Souza FC RJBarra Mansa RJBarra Mansa RJCardoso Moreira RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJSE Belford Roxo RJBarra Mansa RJ| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Friburguense RJ | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 20:6 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Santa Cruz FC RJ | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 11:8 | +3 | 18 |
| 3 |  Cardoso Moreira RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:6 | +9 | 17 |
| 4 |  Serra Macaense FC RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Paduano RJ | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:9 | +8 | 15 |
| 6 | SE Belford Roxo RJ | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18:10 | +8 | 14 |
| 7 |  Campos RJ | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  7 De Abril RJ | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Rio de Janeiro RJ | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Barra Mansa RJ | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:12 | -6 | 7 |
| 11 |  SE Buzios RJ | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8:25 | -17 | 3 |
| 12 |  SE Paraty RJ | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:28 | -23 | 0 |
SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ Prediction (Oct 26)
The SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ prediction covers the Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 match in Brazil on Oct 26 at 18:00 UTC. SE Belford Roxo RJ are the clear favorite, with about a 55% win probability, compared with 29% for the draw and 16% for Barra Mansa RJ. The most likely match outcome is a home win or a draw.
Team Form
SE Belford Roxo RJ come into this match with mixed but slightly stronger recent form: D, D, W, W, L in their last five matches. Their most recent results are a 3-3 away draw at Paduano RJ, a 1-1 home draw against Serra Macaense FC RJ, a 2-0 away win over 7 De Abril RJ, a 3-0 home win over Santa Cruz FC RJ, and a 1-2 home loss to Cardoso Moreira RJ.
Barra Mansa RJ have struggled: L, L, D, L, W. Their last five results were a 0-1 home loss to Serra Macaense FC RJ, a 0-1 away loss to Santa Cruz FC RJ, a 0-0 home draw with Cardoso Moreira RJ, a 0-2 away loss to Rio de Janeiro RJ, and a 1-0 home win over SE Buzios RJ.
In league scoring, SE Belford Roxo RJ have 18 goals for and 10 against, while Barra Mansa RJ have only 6 goals for and 12 against.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head record strongly favors SE Belford Roxo RJ. In the two available meetings, SE Belford Roxo RJ have 2 wins, Barra Mansa RJ have 0, and there are no draws. Results were 4-1 on Sep 28, 2025 in Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 and 1-0 on Oct 23, 2022 in Campeonato Carioca U20.
League Table Positions
SE Belford Roxo RJ are 6th overall with 14 points from 9 matches (3 wins, 5 draws, 1 loss), scoring 18 and conceding 10. Barra Mansa RJ are 10th with 7 points from 9 matches (1 win, 4 draws, 4 losses), scoring 6 and conceding 12. The seven-point gap and the goal difference gap support SE Belford Roxo RJ as the stronger side.
Win Probability: SE Belford Roxo RJ or Barra Mansa RJ?
SE Belford Roxo RJ has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Barra Mansa RJ has a 16% chance. This is based on the 1X2 odds, recent form, head-to-head record, and league table positions.
The bookmaker prices imply a strong home favorite. Inverting the average home odds of about 1.69, draw odds of about 3.10, and away odds of about 5.68 gives a normalized baseline near 54% for a home win, 30% for the draw, and 16% for the away win. Adding the head-to-head advantage of two wins from two meetings, home advantage, and Barra Mansa RJ's poor away form slightly lifts the home win probability to 55%.
SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ Prediction: Odds & Final Verdict
The available 1X2 odds show SE Belford Roxo RJ between 1.44 and 1.95 for the home win, the draw between 2.25 and 3.90, and Barra Mansa RJ between 5.50 and 5.75. Bookmakers see SE Belford Roxo RJ as the favorite, with the lowest home price at 1.44.
Final match prediction: SE Belford Roxo RJ to win. For betting tips, the home win is the strongest angle based on the stats, but because SE Belford have drawn five of nine league games and Barra Mansa have drawn four of nine, the draw could be a useful secondary market. A home win is the most likely match outcome.
SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ โ FAQ
- Who will win SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ?
- SE Belford Roxo RJ is the most likely winner. SE Belford Roxo RJ has a 55% chance of winning, the draw is at 29%, and Barra Mansa RJ has a 16% chance. This is based on odds, form, head-to-head and league table data.
- What is the win probability for SE Belford Roxo RJ?
- The win probability for SE Belford Roxo RJ is 55%. They are 6th overall with 14 points, have won both previous head-to-head meetings, and bookmakers have them as short as 1.44 to win.
- When is the SE Belford Roxo RJ vs Barra Mansa RJ match?
- The match is on Oct 26, 2026 at 18:00 UTC. It is a Campeonato Carioca Serie B2 fixture in Brazil.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The available 1X2 odds range from 1.44 to 1.95 for a SE Belford Roxo RJ win, 2.25 to 3.90 for the draw, and 5.50 to 5.75 for a Barra Mansa RJ win. The shortest home price is 1.44.
- What is the head-to-head record between SE Belford Roxo RJ and Barra Mansa RJ?
- SE Belford Roxo RJ have won both recorded meetings: 4-1 on Sep 28, 2025 and 1-0 on Oct 23, 2022. Barra Mansa RJ have no wins and there are no draws.