Yverdon Women - Basel Women prediction 3 October 2026

Our Yverdon Women vs Basel Women prediction for the League Women match on Oct 3 at 17:00 points strongly towards the visitors. Based on bookmaker odds and current team form, Basel Women have a 59% chance of winning, while Yverdon Women hold a 21% chance and the draw sits at 20%. This Switzerland League Women clash is set to be a one-sided affair according to the numbers.

Team Form

Yverdon Women's last five matches show two wins, two draws and one loss. The most recent results are:

• Sep 13: Yverdon Women 4–1 Aarau Women (W)
• Aug 7: Yverdon Women 0–3 Zurich Women (L)
• Jul 11 (friendly): Yverdon Women 2–2 Servette FC Chenois Women (D)
• May 30: FC Luzern Women 0–0 Yverdon Women (D)
• Apr 4: Yverdon Women 2–0 FC Ostermundigen Women (W)

Basel Women's last five matches delivered one win, two draws and two defeats. Their recent form reads:

• Sep 13: Zurich Women 1–1 Basel Women (D)
• Sep 9: Basel Women 1–1 Grasshopper Zurich Women (D)
• Sep 5: Basel Women 0–4 Kussnacht Women (L)
• Sep 4: Basel Women 1–0 St. Gallen Women (W)
• Aug 30: Winterthur Women 5–1 Basel Women (L)

Yverdon have shown some resilience at home with two wins in their last three home league outings, but the heavy 0–3 defeat to Zurich raises questions. Basel's away form is patchy, with only one win in their last five on the road, yet they remain significantly higher in the standings.

Head-to-Head Record

The only previous meeting in the data is a 1–1 draw between Yverdon Women and Basel Women on Mar 4, 2023, in League Women. The record stands at zero home wins, one draw and zero away wins, suggesting no clear historical edge for either side.

League Table Positions

Yverdon Women occupy 7th place in League Women with 5 points from 7 matches (1 win, 2 draws, 4 losses; goals 11–14). Basel Women are 5th with 12 points from 7 games (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss; goals 10–7). That’s a 7-point gap, and Basel’s record includes a strong home ranking (2nd in home table, 8 points from 4 home matches) and a solid away return (4 points from 3 away games). Yverdon have managed just 5 points overall and have the fourth-worst defensive record, underlining the challenge they face.

Win Probability: Yverdon Women or Basel Women?

Using the available odds (home 4.33, draw 4.50, away 1.50) and stripping out the bookmaker margin, the implied probabilities are: Yverdon Women win – 21%, draw – 20%, Basel Women win – 59%. These percentages are then fine-tuned with the latest form, league positions and home/away dynamics. Basel Women’s high 59% reflects their dominant odds and a far superior league standing. Yverdon’s 21% is largely driven by the large odds gap, though their recent home wins offer a glimmer of hope. The 20% draw sits between the two, matching the balanced head-to-head and Basel’s recent two draws. The probability conclusion is clear: Basel Women are the heavy favourites, with more than double the win chance of the hosts.

Yverdon Women vs Basel Women Prediction & Odds

Bookmakers offer a home win at 4.33, a draw at 4.50, and an away win at 1.50. These odds mirror the probability distribution and make Basel Women the clear favourite. Considering the stats, the yawning points gap and Basel’s overall quality, the match prediction is a Basel Women victory. Yverdon’s sporadic home form may cause a scare, but the most likely outcome is an away win. A correct score or handicap bet could offer better value than the short 1.50 outright, but sticking with the moneyline on Basel Women is the safest read from the data.