Lech Poznan - Bayer Leverkusen prediction 15 October 2026

Europe ยท UEFA Europa LeagueFinished
Match Info
CompetitionUEFA Europa League ยท Europe
Start date
Kick-off
VenueEnea Stadion, Poznaล„
Capacity43,269
Surfacegrass
RefereeMilos Milanovic
Recent Form
Lech Poznan
W
D
W
L
W
Bayer Leverkusen
L
W
W
W
W
Recent matches ยท Lech Poznan
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa
Lech Poznan
12
W
UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan
Sunderland
11
D
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Korona Kielce
61
W
UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
04
L
Ekstraklasa
Slask Wroclaw
Lech Poznan
14
W
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Radomiak Radom
51
W
UEFA Europa League
Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan
40
L
Ekstraklasa
Gornik Zabrze
Lech Poznan
21
L
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Rakow Czestochowa
10
W
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Jagiellonia Bialystok
21
W
Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz
Lech Poznan
23
W
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Piast Gliwice
30
W
Ekstraklasa
Wieczysta Krakow
Lech Poznan
12
W
UEFA Champions League Qualification
Lech Poznan
AGF Aarhus
03
L
Ekstraklasa
Lech Poznan
Cracovia Krakow
00
D
Recent matches ยท Bayer Leverkusen
Bundesliga
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
30
L
UEFA Europa League
OFI Crete
Bayer Leverkusen
02
W
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
21
W
UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
04
W
Bundesliga
Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
34
W
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
20
W
UEFA Europa League
Bayer Leverkusen
Celje
20
W
Bundesliga
Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
22
D
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
40
W
Bundesliga
SV Elversberg
Bayer Leverkusen
32
L
DFB Pokal
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
Bayer Leverkusen
04
W
Friendly Clubs
Newcastle United
Bayer Leverkusen
12
W
Friendly Clubs
Nottingham Forest
Bayer Leverkusen
21
L
Friendly Clubs
Bayer Leverkusen
Sevilla
21
W
Friendly Clubs
Bayer Leverkusen
Rot-Weiss Essen
30
W
Lineups
Lech Poznan4-2-3-1
  • 2Joel PereiraD
  • 10P. WรฅlemarkM
  • 9M. IshakF
  • 43A. KozubalM
  • 77L. PalmaM
  • 15M. GurgulD
  • 1M. LisG
  • 72M. SkrzypczakD
  • 27W. Moล„kaD
  • 14L. BengtssonM
  • 5G. BerggrenM
Substitutes
  • 21Pablo Rodrรญguez
  • 59T. Yegbe
  • 7Y. Agnero
  • 24F. Jagieล‚ล‚o
  • 33M. Pruchniewski
  • W. Szymczak
  • 53K. Delikat
  • 11D. Hรฅkans
Bayer Leverkusen4-4-2
  • 3Miguel GutiรฉrrezD
  • 10M. TillmanM
  • 5L. BadรฉD
  • 23N. TellaM
  • 6E. FernรกndezM
  • 1M. FlekkenG
  • 30I. MazaF
  • 12E. TapsobaD
  • 24Aleix GarcรญaM
  • 11M. TerrierF
  • 17Lucas VรกzquezD
Substitutes
  • 4J. Quansah
  • 8R. Andrich
  • 36N. Lomb
  • 19M. Diaby
  • 9Afonso Moreira
  • 28J. Blaswich
  • 2F. Medina
  • 14P. Schick
Timeline
  • 15'EventW. Moล„ka
  • 18'EventM. Terrier
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Lech Poznan
0
Draws
1
Bayer Leverkusen
Previous meetings
UEFA Europa League
Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
04

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction (Oct 15, 2026)

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Bayer Leverkusen is the strong favorite with a 50% probability to win, while Lech Poznan has a 20% chance and the draw stands at 30%. The UEFA Europa League clash takes place on October 15, 2026, at Stadion Miejski in Poznan.

Team Form

Lech Poznan's last five results (W W L L W) show inconsistency. They beat Slask Wroclaw 4-1 away and Radomiak Radom 5-1 at home, but lost heavily to Crystal Palace (0-4) and narrowly to Gornik Zabrze (1-2).

Bayer Leverkusen is in superb form (W W W D W), including a 4-3 away win at Mainz, a 2-0 home win over RB Leipzig, and a 4-0 demolition of Union Berlin. The only minor blip was a 2-2 draw at Augsburg.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no head-to-head record between these sides. This will be their first meeting in any competition, so no historical data to inform the prediction.

Win Probability: Lech Poznan or Bayer Leverkusen?

Based on odds (implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin) and recent form, we calculate: Lech Poznan win 20%, draw 30%, Bayer Leverkusen win 50%. The visitors' impressive run and higher quality give them the clear edge, despite playing away.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Bayer Leverkusen as the favourite. One bookmaker lists Lech Poznan at 4.50, the draw at 2.50, and Bayer Leverkusen at 1.95. These odds align with our probability assessment. Our prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win, given their form and depth. A draw cannot be ruled out (30% chance), but Lech Poznan faces an uphill task.

Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen โ€” FAQ

Who will win Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen has the highest chance of victory with a 50% probability. The draw stands at 30%, while Lech Poznan holds a20% chance.
What is the win probability for Bayer Leverkusen?
Bayer Leverkusen has a50% probability of winning. This is based on their strong recent form (4 wins,1 draw in last5) and the bookmakersโ€™ odds, which heavily favour the German side.
When is the Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen match?
The match is scheduled for October15,2026, at17:45 local time (CEST). It will be played at Stadion Miejski in Poznan, Poland, as part of the UEA Europa League group stage.
What are the odds for the match?
One bookmaker offers odds of4.50 for a Lech Poznan home win,2.50 for a draw, and1.95 for an away win for Bayer Leverkusen. Other bookmakers have similar lines, with Bayer Leverkusen consistently priced as the favourite.
Lech Poznan โ€“ Bayer Leverkusen ยท match page