SL Benfica Women - Bayern Munich Women prediction 30 September 2026

SL Benfica Women vs Bayern Munich Women prediction for this UEFA Champions League Women clash on Sep 30, 2026, at 20:00. Based on the latest odds, head-to-head record, and current form, Bayern Munich Women enter the match as the clear favorite with a 55% win probability, while SL Benfica Women have a 15% chance and the draw stands at 30%.

Team Form

SL Benfica Women are in perfect form with five consecutive wins. Their most recent result was a 2-1 away victory against Juventus Women in the Champions League on Sep 22. Domestically, they have beaten Rio Ave Women (2-0), Racing Power Women (3-0), and FC Porto Women (2-0) in the cup, along with another away win at Rio Ave (1-0).

Bayern Munich Women have won four and drawn one of their last five outings. They beat Borussia Monchengladbach Women 2-1 in the cup, drew 2-2 at home with Manchester City Women in the Champions League, and recorded Bundesliga wins over FC Koln (5-2), Bayer Leverkusen (3-2), and SC Freiburg (4-1).

Head-to-Head Record

These teams have met four times in the UEFA Champions League Women. Bayern Munich Women dominate the H2H with three wins and one draw. The results:

• Dec 21, 2022: Bayern Munich Women 2-0 SL Benfica Women
• Oct 27, 2022: SL Benfica Women 2-3 Bayern Munich Women
• Dec 15, 2021: Bayern Munich Women 4-0 SL Benfica Women
• Oct 5, 2021: SL Benfica Women 0-0 Bayern Munich Women

SL Benfica Women have never beaten Bayern, scoring just two goals across the four matches while conceding nine.

League Table Positions

In the overall UEFA Champions League Women standings, SL Benfica Women sit 3rd with 3 points from one match (2 goals scored, 1 conceded). Bayern Munich Women are 8th with 1 point (2 goals scored, 2 conceded) after drawing their opener. The away table shows Benfica 2nd with 3 points from one away game, while Bayern are 5th in the home table with 1 point from one home match.

Win Probability: SL Benfica Women or Bayern Munich Women?

After normalizing the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form and H2H, the win probabilities are:

• SL Benfica Women: 15%
• Draw: 30%
• Bayern Munich Women: 55%

The odds heavily favor an away win, and the head-to-head record reinforces that. Benfica’s perfect recent form and home advantage give them a slightly higher chance than the raw odds suggest, but Bayern’s quality and historical dominance make them the most likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers see Bayern Munich Women as the strong favorite. The average 1X2 odds are 7.59 for a home win, 3.26 for the draw, and 1.60 for an away win. Based on the stats, the most probable outcome is a Bayern Munich Women victory. A draw cannot be ruled out given Benfica’s solid defense, but the H2H record points to an away win.