Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC - BEC Police Tero Sasana prediction 13 October 2026

On Oct 13, 2026, Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC and BEC Police Tero Sasana face off in a Thailand Division 2 encounter, with kick-off at 12:30 local time. Our Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC vs BEC Police Tero Sasana prediction indicates that the home team holds a 55% probability of victory, while a draw is at 25% and an away win just 20%. This conclusion is drawn from the odds, head-to-head history, and recent form.

Team Form

Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC have managed only one win in their last five outings (W D D D L). Most recently, they fell 2-1 away to Phrae United on Oct 9. Prior to that, they drew three consecutive matches: 1-1 at home against Mahasarakham United on Sep 19, 1-1 away at Nakhon Pathom on Sep 16, and a goalless stalemate at home versus Chanthaburi on Sep 13. Their sole victory was a 4-2 away win over Satun United on Sep 6. The side has struggled for consistency, often settling for points.

BEC Police Tero Sasana have a mixed recent record (W W L L D in their last five, from oldest to newest). They recorded back-to-back wins: a 1-0 home success over Muang Loei United on Sep 6 and a 3-0 away triumph at Pattaya Dolphins United on Sep 11. Since then, they have faltered—losing 3-0 at home to Songkhla United on Sep 15, falling 2-0 away to KhonKaen United on Sep 19, and most recently drawing 1-1 at home with Nakhon Ratchasima FC on Oct 10. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet in their last three matches.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record heavily favors the home side. Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC have won all three previous meetings against BEC Police Tero Sasana, with no draws. In the most recent clash on Feb 15, 2025 in Division 2, Dragon won 2–1 at home. Earlier, on Oct 19, 2024, they secured a 2–1 away victory, and in a League Cup tie on Nov 16, 2022, again triumphed 2–1 at home. Across these encounters, Dragon have scored exactly twice each time while holding BEC to a single goal.

League Table Positions

In the overall Division 2 standings (after 5 games), BEC Police Tero Sasana sit 10th with 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, goals 5:6), while Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC are 12th with 6 points (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss, goals 7:6). The tight table suggests little to separate the sides, though Dragon’s superior goals output (7 vs. 5) and a marginally better defensive record (6 conceded vs. 6) hint at a slight edge. Neither side features in the top 8 of the home or away standings, indicating average performances in their respective venues.

Win Probability: Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC or BEC Police Tero Sasana?

Calculating the true chances from the average bookmaker odds (home 1.91, draw 2.64, away 4.88) and adjusting for H2H and form, Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC carry a 55% win probability. The draw sits at 25%, while BEC Police Tero Sasana have a 20% shot. The hosts' perfect H2H record (3 wins) and home advantage tilt the balance, while their recent draw-heavy form adds weight to a possible stalemate. However, the statistical edge remains firmly with Dragon.

Odds & Match Prediction

Leading bookmakers offer Dragon Pathumwan Kanchanaburi FC at average odds of 1.91, the draw at 2.64, and a BEC Police Tero Sasana away win at 4.88. Notable variations exist—one bookie lists the home win as short as 1.52—but overall the market points to Dragon as the clear favorite. Based on the odds, H2H dominance, and home advantage, our match prediction sides with the hosts. A home victory is the most likely outcome in this Division 2 contest.