BEC Police Tero Sasana - Nakhon Ratchasima FC prediction 10 October 2026

Our BEC Police Tero Sasana vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC prediction for the Division 2 match on Oct 10, 2026, at 12:30 gives the home side a 40% chance of winning. The match at Boonyachinda Stadium sees BEC Police Tero Sasana as slight favourites, but Nakhon Ratchasima FC’s recent away draws make a stalemate a real possibility.

Team Form

BEC Police Tero Sasana’s recent form has been mixed. Their last five results show two wins and three losses (L, L, W, W, L). In Division 2, they recorded a 3-0 away win at Pattaya Dolphins United and a 1-0 home victory over Muang Loei United, but suffered a 0-3 home defeat to Songkhla United and a 2-0 loss at KhonKaen United. At home, they have one win and one loss in their last two league matches.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC are struggling for wins. Their last five outings (L, D, L, D, D) include no victories in four Division 2 matches. They drew 1-1 at Mahasarakham United and 2-2 at Nakhon Pathom, but lost 1-2 at home to Chainat FC and 1-2 to Chiangmai FC. The away form shows two draws, suggesting they are tough to beat on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The head-to-head record between these sides is closely balanced. In 12 previous meetings, BEC Police Tero Sasana have won 3, Nakhon Ratchasima FC have won 4, and there have been 5 draws. The last five encounters saw BEC win twice (1-0 at home in November 2022 and 3-1 away in May 2023) and Nakhon win three times (1-0, 2-1, and 1-0 in 2022 and 2020). At Boonyachinda Stadium, the last three H2H matches produced one home win and two away wins.

League Table Positions

In the Division 2 standings, BEC Police Tero Sasana sit 10th with 6 points from 4 matches (2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Nakhon Ratchasima FC are outside the top 12, having collected just 2 points from their 4 league games (0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses). The 4-point gap highlights BEC’s slightly better start to the season.

Win Probability: BEC Police Tero Sasana or Nakhon Ratchasima FC?

Based on the available data—team form, head-to-head record, league positions, and home advantage—we calculate the win probabilities as follows: BEC Police Tero Sasana win 40%, draw 30%, Nakhon Ratchasima FC win 30%. BEC’s home status and higher league ranking give them a marginal edge, but Nakhon’s ability to draw away matches and their recent H2H success keep the contest tight. The most likely outcome is a home win, but a draw is almost equally probable.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers’ odds for this fixture are not yet available. When they appear, BEC Police Tero Sasana are expected to be slight favourites. Our match prediction is a narrow home victory, but with a strong chance of a draw. For betting tips, the ‘draw no bet’ market on BEC or the under 2.5 goals could be worth considering given the low-scoring trends.