Beerschot-Wilrijk - KSK Lierse Kempenzonen prediction 11 September 2026

The Beerschot-Wilrijk vs KSK Lierse Kempenzonen prediction for February 1, 2026, points toward a home victory in the Challenger Pro League. Beerschot-Wilrijk, sitting 3rd in the table, carries a 55% win probability into this fixture, while the visitors face an uphill battle with just a 23% chance.

Team Form

Beerschot-Wilrijk enters the match with a mixed run: L, L, D, D, W in their last five games. Most recently, they fell 1-3 at home to Lommel on May 9 and lost 3-1 away to the same opponent on May 2. Earlier, they drew 2-2 against Patro Eisden and 1-1 in the away leg, before a 2-1 win over Lommel on April 17. Those results show defensive vulnerabilities but an ability to get on the scoresheet.

KSK Lierse Kempenzonen mirrors that inconsistency with L, W, D, W, L in their last five. A 1-0 friendly loss to Fortuna Sittard on July 3 was followed by a 4-0 thrashing of Nijlen, a 1-1 league draw with KSC Lokeren Temse, a 1-0 win at ROC Charleroi, and a 0-2 home defeat to Royal Francs Borains. The side has struggled for consistency, especially on the road.

Head-to-Head Record

The last four competitive meetings (excluding the February 1 fixture) show Beerschot-Wilrijk with a clear edge: three wins and one loss. On August 30, 2025, Beerschot-Wilrijk won 1-0 at home. Earlier, they triumphed 2-1 in March 2024 and 1-0 away in March 2023, while KSK Lierse Kempenzonen claimed a 2-1 away victory in May 2023. Across all seven historical encounters, the home team has won four times and the away side three, with no draws.

League Table Positions

Beerschot-Wilrijk occupies 3rd place with 61 points (18 wins, 7 draws, 6 losses), just 24 points above the visitors. At home, they rank 3rd with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats from 15 matches. KSK Lierse Kempenzonen is 10th overall on 37 points (10 wins, 7 draws, 14 losses) and does not feature in the top eight away standings, highlighting their travel struggles.

Win Probability: Beerschot-Wilrijk or KSK Lierse Kempenzonen?

Based on the available data, the win probabilities are: Beerschot-Wilrijk 55%, draw 22%, KSK Lierse Kempenzonen 23%. The hosts’ higher league position, solid home record (8W-4D-3L), and a favorable head-to-head trend (3 wins in the last 4) underpin their favorite status. KSK Lierse Kempenzonen’s poor away form and 14 losses in 31 games reduce their chances, though recent friendly results hint at potential. The low draw probability reflects the history between these teams, where none of the seven H2H meetings ended level.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are available at the time of writing. Taking into account the statistical factors – form, head-to-head record, and league positions – the balance tilts toward a Beerschot-Wilrijk victory. While their recent results have been uneven, the home advantage and the visitors’ road vulnerabilities make the home side the most likely winner in this Challenger Pro League clash.