Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan prediction 9 October 2026
Qingdao Hainiu
Beijing Guoan
Chongqing TonglianglongQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuLiaoning Shenyang Urban TierenQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanDalian ZhixingQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuWuhan Three TownsShanghai SIPG East AsiaQingdao HainiuShandong Luneng TaishanQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuShanghai ShenhuaQingdao West CoastQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuTianjin Jinmen TigerShanghai ShenhuaQingdao HainiuHenan Jianye Songshan LongmenQingdao HainiuZhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou GreentownQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuChengdu RongchengQingdao HainiuYunnan YukunBeijing GuoanJeonbuk Hyundai MotorsHenan Jianye Songshan LongmenBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanQingdao West CoastBuriram UnitedBeijing GuoanQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanPohang SteelersShanghai SIPG East AsiaBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanLanzhou Longyuan AthleticDalian ZhixingBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanYunnan YukunShanghai ShenhuaBeijing GuoanTianjin Jinmen TigerBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanShenzhen Peng CityBeijing GuoanZhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou GreentownChengdu RongchengBeijing Guoan- 9Liu XinyuF
- 23Song LongD
- 4Jin YangyangD
- 28Mu PengfeiG
- 6M. EdjoumaM
- 34Jin YonghaoM
- 29Li SudaD
- 37Wei ZixianD
- 32L. TufegdลพiฤM
- 7Y. YeboahM
- 20Gong RuicongM
- 14Sun Zheng'ao
- 16Li Hailong
- 30Che Shiwei
- 1Liu Jun
- 21Liu Guobao
- 10C. Strandberg
- 43M. Jappar
- 17Wang Qiao
- 22Cong Yang
- 47Chuanhui Zheng
- 33Liu Jiashen
- 34Hou SenG
- 9Zhang YuningF
- 37Cao YongjingM
- 8A. KonteM
- 25U. SpajiฤD
- 26Bai YangD
- 7SerginhoM
- 29Fรกbio AbreuF
- 5Guilherme RamosD
- 11Lin LiangmingM
- 21Yue Tze NamD
- 4Li Lei
- 27Wang Gang
- 6Chi Zhongguo
- 10Zhang Xizhe
- 17Yang Liyu
- 24Abduhamit Abdugheni
- 22Han Jiaqi
- 36Jia Feifan
- 31Liu Shaoziyang
- 30Fan Shuangjie
- 47Jiefu Deng
- 41Xi Cheng
Qingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanBeijing GuoanQingdao HainiuBeijing GuoanQingdao HainiuQingdao HainiuBeijing Guoan| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Rongcheng | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 51:34 | +17 | 52 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 53:33 | +20 | 49 |
| 3 |  Shandong Luneng Taishan | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 52:44 | +8 | 47 |
| 4 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 62:48 | +14 | 47 |
| 5 |  Dalian Zhixing | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 45:43 | +2 | 46 |
| 6 |  Shanghai SIPG East Asia | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 47:35 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 |  Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:32 | +6 | 41 |
| 8 |  Yunnan Yukun | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 56:59 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |  Qingdao West Coast | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | 31:37 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  Zhejiang Lucheng Hangzhou Greentown | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 |  Henan Jianye Songshan Longmen | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 |  Chongqing Tonglianglong | 28 | 7 | 12 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 |  Shenzhen Peng City | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37:50 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 |  Liaoning Shenyang Urban Tieren | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 39:48 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 41:50 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 34:60 | -26 | 21 |
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan Prediction (Oct 9)
Our Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan prediction for this China. Super League match on Oct 9 at 12:35 is that Beijing Guoan has a 60% chance of winning, while Qingdao Hainiu sits at just 15% and the draw at 25%. The visitors are clear favorites based on form, head-to-head record, and league standings.
Team Form
Qingdao Hainiu are in dreadful form, losing their last five matches in a row. They fell 2-1 to Dalian Zhixing, were thrashed 5-1 at home by Wuhan Three Towns, lost 2-1 at Shanghai SIPG East Asia, 3-1 at Shandong Luneng Taishan, and 1-0 at home to Shanghai Shenhua. With five straight defeats, confidence is rock bottom.
Beijing Guoan, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last five outings (W2 D3). They beat Pohang Steelers 3-1 in the AFC Champions League, drew 0-0 at Shanghai SIPG East Asia, won 3-1 against Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic in the FA Cup, and recorded back-to-back 1-1 and 3-3 draws at Dalian Zhixing and against Yunnan Yukun. The away side is clearly the more consistent team.
Head-to-Head Record
In the last five meetings, Beijing Guoan have won three, Qingdao Hainiu two, with one draw. The most recent clash on May 15, 2026, saw Beijing Guoan win 4-2 at home. The previous encounter on Oct 26, 2025, ended in a 4-2 away win for Qingdao Hainiu. Overall, the H2H record slightly favors the away side, with Beijing Guoan winning three of the six all-time meetings.
League Table Positions
Beijing Guoan sit 2nd in the China. Super League with 43 points from 26 games (11 wins, 10 draws, 5 losses). They have scored 49 goals and conceded 33. Qingdao Hainiu are not in the top 12 of the standings, indicating they are likely in the lower half of the table, battling to avoid relegation. The gulf in quality is significant.
Win Probability: Qingdao Hainiu or Beijing Guoan?
Based on the odds, form, head-to-head record, and league positions, we calculate the win probabilities as follows: Qingdao Hainiu 15%, draw 25%, Beijing Guoan 60%. The bookmakers' odds (home 5.00, draw 2.80, away 1.80) imply a strong away favorite, and when adjusted for the home team's losing streak and the visitors' unbeaten run, Beijing Guoan's chances rise even higher. The home side's five consecutive defeats make an upset highly unlikely.
Odds & Match Prediction
The best available odds show Qingdao Hainiu at 5.00 to win, the draw at 2.80, and Beijing Guoan at 1.80. Bookmakers see Beijing Guoan as the clear favorite. Our prediction: Beijing Guoan to win. Given the massive disparity in form and league standing, an away victory is the most probable outcome. A correct score bet on 0-2 or 1-3 could offer value.
Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan โ FAQ
- Who will win Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan?
- Beijing Guoan are the strong favorites to win. Our calculated probabilities give them a 60% chance, while Qingdao Hainiu have only 15% and the draw 25%. The visitors' superior form and league position make them the likely winner.
- What is the win probability for Beijing Guoan?
- Beijing Guoan have a 60% chance of winning this match. This is based on odds of 1.80, their unbeaten run of five games, and Qingdao Hainiu's five-match losing streak.
- When is the Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan match?
- The match is on Oct 9, 2026, at 12:35 local time. It will be played at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium in Qingdao, as part of the China. Super League.
- What are the odds for Qingdao Hainiu vs Beijing Guoan?
- The odds are: Qingdao Hainiu win 5.00, draw 2.80, Beijing Guoan win 1.80. These are the best available pre-match odds from bookmakers.
- What is the head-to-head record between Qingdao Hainiu and Beijing Guoan?
- In their last six meetings, Beijing Guoan have won 3, Qingdao Hainiu 2, and 1 draw. The most recent match on May 15, 2026, ended in a 4-2 home win for Beijing Guoan.