Beijing Ligong Institute Technology - Chengdu Rongcheng B prediction 6 October 2026

Beijing Ligong Institute Technology vs Chengdu Rongcheng B prediction for the China. League Two match on Oct 6, 2026, at 08:30. Bookmakers see Chengdu Rongcheng B as the favorite, but our analysis gives them a 35% win probability, while a draw is the most likely outcome at 40%.

Team Form

Beijing Ligong Institute Technology have won 3 of their last 5 matches (W3 D1 L1). Their recent results:

• Sep 19: Xiamen Feilu 3-0 Beijing Ligong Institute Technology (L)
• Sep 12: Beijing Ligong Institute Technology 1-0 Ganzhou Ruishi FC (W)
• Aug 22: Dalian Yingbo FC U21 3-4 Beijing Ligong Institute Technology (W)
• Aug 15: Beijing Ligong Institute Technology 2-2 Changchun Xidu (D)
• Aug 8: Beijing Ligong Institute Technology 2-1 Shanghai Segenda (W)

Chengdu Rongcheng B have drawn 3 of their last 5 (D3 W1 L1). Their recent form:

• Sep 19: Chengdu Rongcheng B 1-1 Taian Tiankuang (D)
• Sep 12: Nantong Haimen Codion 1-1 Chengdu Rongcheng B (D)
• Aug 23: Chengdu Rongcheng B 0-1 Jiangxi Beidamen Liansheng (L)
• Aug 16: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0-0 Chengdu Rongcheng B (D)
• Aug 8: Chengdu Rongcheng B 3-2 Hubei Istar Chufeng Heli (W)

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Beijing Ligong Institute Technology and Chengdu Rongcheng B. This will be their first meeting.

Win Probability: Beijing Ligong Institute Technology or Chengdu Rongcheng B?

Based on the available odds, team form, and the lack of H2H data, we calculate the following win probabilities:

• Beijing Ligong Institute Technology: 25%
• Draw: 40%
• Chengdu Rongcheng B: 35%

The bookmakers' implied probabilities (from odds of 4.33 home, 2.10 draw, 2.38 away) were 20.5% home win, 42.3% draw, 37.3% away win. We adjusted these slightly to reflect Beijing Ligong's stronger recent form (3 wins in 5) and home advantage, while still acknowledging Chengdu Rongcheng B's favoritism in the market. The draw remains the most probable outcome, but if a winner emerges, Chengdu Rongcheng B holds a slight edge.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers offer varying odds for this fixture. One bookmaker lists a home win at 4.33, the draw at 2.10, and an away win at 2.38. Other odds include 4.33/2.05/2.30 and 4.20/2.10/2.20. The draw is consistently the shortest price, confirming the expectation of a tight contest. Based on the stats, our match prediction is a draw — the most likely result given both teams' recent tendency to share points.