Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction 15 September 2026

The Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Petah Tikva prediction for this Israel Premier League clash on Sep 15, 2026, at Itztadion Teddy points to a home advantage for Beitar Jerusalem. Based on our analysis of odds, form, and head-to-head record, Beitar Jerusalem has a 52% chance of winning, while the draw is at 31% and an away win for Maccabi Petah Tikva sits at 17%.

Team Form

Beitar Jerusalem enters this match with a mixed run of results: W, L, L, W, L in their last five outings. They won away at Bnei Sakhnin (1-0) and Austria Wien (2-1) but suffered home defeats to Maccabi Netanya (1-4) and Austria Wien (1-2), as well as a heavy 3-0 loss at Hapoel Tel Aviv. The team has conceded 7 goals in their last 3 league games, with the only clean sheet coming against Bnei Sakhnin.

Maccabi Petah Tikva’s recent form reads L, W, W, D, D. They lost at home to Ironi Tiberias (1-2) but bounced back with away wins at Bnei Sakhnin (2-1) and a home victory over Hapoel Ironi Kiryat Shmona (2-1). Two friendly draws away from home round off a spell where they have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches.

Head-to-Head Record

Historically, Beitar Jerusalem dominates this fixture. Out of 21 total meetings, Beitar has 14 wins, Maccabi Petah Tikva has 4, and 3 ended in draws. The last five encounters underline that trend:

• Mar 02, 2025: Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-2 Beitar Jerusalem
• Dec 04, 2024: Beitar Jerusalem 5-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
• Mar 16, 2024: Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Beitar Jerusalem
• Dec 31, 2023: Beitar Jerusalem 3-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
• Apr 30, 2022: Beitar Jerusalem 2-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva

Beitar has won four of those five, scoring 15 goals and conceding only 5. This H2H record strongly supports the home side’s chances.

League Table Positions

After three rounds, Maccabi Petah Tikva sits 3rd with 6 points (2 wins, 1 loss, 5 goals scored, 4 conceded). Beitar Jerusalem is 12th with 3 points (1 win, 2 losses, 2 goals for, 7 against). The visitors also hold a perfect away record so far, winning their only road game 2-1 at Bnei Sakhnin. In the home standings, Beitar is outside the top eight, having lost its single home match 4-1 to Maccabi Netanya.

Win Probability: Beitar Jerusalem or Maccabi Petah Tikva?

After normalising the bookmaker odds and adjusting for form, H2H, and home advantage, we calculate the outcome probabilities as follows: Beitar Jerusalem win – 52%, draw – 31%, Maccabi Petah Tikva win – 17%. The odds clearly favour Beitar, and their head-to-head dominance reinforces that leaning. Despite being lower in the table, the home side’s historical edge and the venue factor give them a solid majority chance. The draw at 31% is a significant probability, suggesting a tight contest is possible, but an away win is unlikely.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers have Beitar Jerusalem as the clear favourite. The average odds across six providers are around 1.58 for a home win, 2.62 for the draw, and 4.75 for an away victory. The best available odds in our data show home prices as low as 1.50 and as high as 1.62, draw odds ranging from 2.25 to 4.12, and away odds between 4.45 and 5.55.

Based on the stats, the most likely outcome is a Beitar Jerusalem win. The head-to-head record, home advantage, and betting odds all point towards a home victory. However, Maccabi Petah Tikva’s decent away form and Beitar’s defensive issues mean the draw cannot be ruled out. Our final prediction: Beitar Jerusalem to win, but with a cautious eye on the draw.