Denmark U21 - Belarus U21 prediction 28 September 2026

The Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21 prediction for this Euro Championship U21 Qualification match on Sep 28, 2026, points to a home victory. Denmark U21 enters as the clear favorite with a 70% win probability, while Belarus U21 has only an 8% chance of pulling off an upset.

Team Form

Denmark U21 comes into this fixture with a mixed recent record: W, W, D, L, D. They thrashed Wales U21 4-0 at home, then secured a 1-0 away win over Belarus in their last head-to-head (Nov 18, 2025). A 1-1 friendly draw with USA U21, a 0-2 loss to Belgium U21, and a 1-1 draw against Austria U21 complete their last five. The back-to-back clean sheets against Wales and Belarus highlight defensive solidity.

Belarus U21 have struggled: L, W, W, L, L. Their most recent outing ended in a 1-0 defeat at Belgium U21 (Sep 24, 2026). Before that, they won two friendlies against Kazakhstan U21 (2-1 and 2-0) but lost 1-2 to Austria U21 and 0-2 at Wales U21. Their attack managed only one goal in the last three competitive qualifiers, and away form looks fragile.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met just once: on Nov 18, 2025, Denmark U21 won 1-0 away against Belarus U21. The clean sheet in that meeting gives the Danes a psychological edge and a 1-0 lead in the H2H record.

League Table Positions

The provided Euro Championship U21 Qualification standings only list the top teams (Poland U21, Spain U21, Italy U21, etc.). Neither Denmark U21 nor Belarus U21 appears among the leaders, indicating they are likely mid‑table or lower. Denmark’s stronger form and odds suggest a higher position than Belarus.

Win Probability: Denmark U21 or Belarus U21?

Based on the latest bookmaker odds and team performances, the outcome probabilities are:

• Denmark U21 win: 70%
• Draw: 22%
• Belarus U21 win: 8%

These figures are derived by averaging the inverse of the 1X2 odds (removing the bookmaker margin) and then adjusting slightly for Denmark’s home advantage, their recent 4-0 win over Wales, and a 1-0 H2H victory. Belarus’s three losses in their last five competitive matches and their goal‑scoring difficulties on the road further reduce their chances. Denmark is clearly the more likely winner.

Odds & Match Prediction

Bookmakers heavily favor the home side. Typical 1X2 odds are Denmark U21 at 1.23, the draw at 2.82, and Belarus U21 at 8.60. The short price on the home win reflects the wide gap in quality and form.

Denmark U21 vs Belarus U21 prediction: Based on the stats, a home win is the most probable match outcome. Denmark’s solid defense, head-to-head superiority, and home support should prove decisive against a Belarus side that has struggled to score in qualifiers. The 1X2 market offers value on Denmark to claim three points.