| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 2.50 | 2.10 | |
| 4.25 | 2.48 | 1.98 | |
| 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 12 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 | |
| 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | +7 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 | |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | +4 | 8 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | +4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | +2 | 8 | |
| 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | +8 | 7 | |
| 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | +2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | +6 | 7 | |
| 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | +3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | +2 | 7 | |
| 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 7 | |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 | |
| 20 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 | |
| 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | +4 | 6 | |
| 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 6 | |
| 23 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 24 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | +1 | 5 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 5 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 5 | |
| 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 5 | |
| 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 29 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | +1 | 4 | |
| 30 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 | |
| 31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 32 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 4 | |
| 33 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 | |
| 34 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 | |
| 35 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 | |
| 36 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 | |
| 37 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 | |
| 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 | |
| 40 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 | |
| 41 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 42 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 | |
| 43 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 2 | |
| 44 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 | |
| 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 | |
| 46 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 | |
| 47 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 | |
| 48 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 | |
| 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 | |
| 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | -14 | 0 | |
| 51 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 0 | |
| 52 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 | |
| 53 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 | |
| 54 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 0 |
This Belgium vs Turkey prediction breaks down the UEFA Nations League match on Oct 2, 2026 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Based on the latest odds, team form, and home advantage, Belgium enters as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability.
Belgium's recent results show two wins, two losses, and one draw. They scored 9goals and conceded 6 across these matches, with highlights being an impressive 2-0 away win over Italy and a heavy 4-1 victory against USA.
Turkey come into this fixture with two wins and three losses in their last five. They managed to score 7goals but conceded 8, and their defense looked vulnerable in heavy defeat to Italy and a narrow loss to France.
There is no previous head-to-head record between Belgium and Turkey. This UEFA Nations League clash marks their first ever official meeting.
The provided standings do not include Belgium or Turkey, so their exact group positions in the UEFA Nations League remain unknown. The available tables list other nations at the top but neither team appears in those rankings.
After calculating the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Belgium has a 52% chance of winning this match. A draw is rated at 30%, and Turkey's win probability stands at 18% โ a total of 100%. The base probabilities derived from the odds (home 1.85, draw 2.62, away 4.75) implied a 48% home win, 34% draw, and 18% away win after removing the bookmaker margin. We have adjusted these numbers upwards for Belgium due to their stronger form, especially the 2-0 away victory over Italy, and downwards for the draw. Turkey's heavy 4-1 loss to Italy at home further supports the outlook that they will struggle away from home against a top side. Home advantage at Stade Maurice Dufrasne also strengthens Belgium's position, making them the justified favorite.
Across several bookmakers, the odds for this match range from 1.48 to 1.85 for a Belgium win, 2.52 to 2.84 for the draw, and 4.50 to 6.00 for a Turkey victory. These odds clearly mark Belgium as the expected winner. Based on all the stats, our Belgium vs Turkey prediction is a home win for Belgium. Turkey's defensive fragilities and poor recent record against top European sides make an away victory unlikely. However, Belgium's occasional inconsistencies mean a draw remains a 30% possibility, so caution is advised.