Turkey - Belgium prediction 12 November 2026

Europe ยท UEFA Nations LeagueNot started
Turkey
VS
Belgium
Full Time Result (1X2)
1
3.74
X
2.82
2
1.88
Match Info
CompetitionUEFA Nations League ยท Europe
Start date
Kick-off
VenueGรผrsel Aksel Stadyumu, Izmir
Capacity30,035
Surfacegrass
Recent Form
Turkey
L
L
L
L
W
Belgium
L
W
L
W
L
Recent matches ยท Turkey
UEFA Nations League
Italy
Turkey
31
L
UEFA Nations League
Belgium
Turkey
30
L
UEFA Nations League
Turkey
Italy
14
L
UEFA Nations League
Turkey
France
01
L
Friendly International
Turkey
North Macedonia
30
W
World Cup
Turkey
USA
32
W
World Cup
Turkey
Paraguay
01
L
World Cup
Australia
Turkey
20
L
Friendly International
Venezuela
Turkey
12
W
Friendly International
Turkey
North Macedonia
40
W
World Cup Qualification Play Off
Kosovo
Turkey
01
W
World Cup Qualification Play Off
Turkey
Romania
10
W
Friendly International
Mexico
Turkey
10
L
Friendly International
USA
Turkey
12
W
UEFA Nations League
Hungary
Turkey
03
W
Recent matches ยท Belgium
UEFA Nations League
France
Belgium
41
L
UEFA Nations League
Belgium
Turkey
30
W
UEFA Nations League
Belgium
France
01
L
UEFA Nations League
Italy
Belgium
02
W
World Cup
Spain
Belgium
21
L
World Cup
USA
Belgium
14
W
World Cup
Belgium
Senegal
22
D
World Cup
New Zealand
Belgium
15
W
World Cup
Belgium
Iran
00
D
World Cup
Belgium
Egypt
11
D
Friendly International
Belgium
Tunisia
50
W
Friendly International
Croatia
Belgium
02
W
Friendly International
Mexico
Belgium
11
D
Friendly International
USA
Belgium
25
W
UEFA Nations League
Belgium
Ukraine
30
W
Odds
Full Time Result
Pre-match odds
Bookmaker1X2
3.602.502.10
4.252.481.98
1.131.131.13
Lineups
Turkey1-4-4-2
  • 58Aral Simsirforward
  • 17Evren Eren Elmalidefender
  • Ferdi Kadiogludefender
  • 17Irfan Can Kahveciforward
  • 5ฤฐsmail Yรผksekmidfielder
  • 3Merih Demiraldefender
  • 5Ozan Kabakdefender
  • 6Salih ร–zcanmidfielder
  • 1Ugurcan Cakirgoalkeeper
  • 11Yunus Akgรผnforward
  • Zeki Celikdefender
Substitutes
  • 1Altay Bayindir
  • 28Bartug Elmaz
  • 21Deniz Gรผl
  • 34Ege Tiknaz
  • 53Emir Han Topcu
  • 29Ilhan Fakili
  • 7Kerem Aktรผrkoglu
  • 57Melih Kabasakal
  • 16Muhammed Sengezer
  • 19Mustafa Eskihellac
  • 70Oguz Aydin
Belgium1-4-3-3
  • 44Brandon Mecheledefender
  • Diego Moreiramidfielder
  • 11Dodi Lukebakioforward
  • 20Hans Vanakenmidfielder
  • 65Joaquin Seysdefender
  • 19Leandro Trossardforward
  • 26Maarten Vandevoordtgoalkeeper
  • 16Mandela Keitamidfielder
  • 3Nathan Ngoydefender
  • 43Nicolas Raskinmidfielder
  • 9Romelu Lukakuforward
  • 21Timothy Castagnedefender
Substitutes
  • 3Arthur Theate
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 64Kyriani Sabbe
  • Loรฏs Openda
  • 22Matias Fernandez-Pardo
  • Maxim De Cuyper
  • 22Mika Godts
  • 13Mike Penders
  • 1Senne Lammens
  • Zeno Debast
Head-to-Head ยท summary
0
Turkey
0
Draws
1
Belgium
Previous meetings
UEFA Nations League
Belgium
Turkey
30
League Standings
#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Portugal44009:4+512
2Montenegro43107:4+310
3France43107:2+510
4Sweden43107:3+410
5Switzerland33008:1+79
6Spain330010:4+69
7Netherlands42207:5+28
8Northern Ireland42204:0+48
9Austria42209:5+48
10Bosnia-Herzegovina42206:3+38
11Greece42205:3+28
12Finland32109:1+87
13Malta32104:2+27
14Iceland32107:1+67
15Slovakia32105:2+37
16Cyprus42115:3+27
17Italy42118:5+37
18Hungary42113:2+17
19England320111:3+86
20Denmark42027:706
21Albania32016:2+46
22Belgium42026:5+16
23Azerbaijan31202:1+15
24Estonia31202:1+15
25Kosovo41213:4-15
26Germany41213:2+15
27Ireland41216:4+25
28Slovenia31113:2+14
29Lithuania31113:2+14
30Faroe Islands40405:504
31Armenia41124:5-14
32Belarus31114:2+24
33Scotland31112:3-14
34Moldova31113:4-14
35Poland41127:4+34
36Ukraine41122:5-34
37Luxembourg31022:5-33
38Croatia31023:12-93
39Wales41032:5-33
40Norway41036:8-23
41Gibraltar20201:102
42Kazakhstan40225:7-22
43Georgia40220:2-22
44Israel40222:7-52
45Liechtenstein20110:2-21
46Andorra30121:3-21
47Latvia40132:6-41
48Bulgaria30121:5-41
49North Macedonia30030:7-70
50San Marino30030:14-140
51Serbia40043:8-50
52Czech Republic30032:7-50
53Romania40043:13-100
54Turkey40042:11-90
Champions LeagueEuropeRelegation

Belgium vs Turkey Prediction (Oct 2)

This Belgium vs Turkey prediction breaks down the UEFA Nations League match on Oct 2, 2026 at Stade Maurice Dufrasne. Based on the latest odds, team form, and home advantage, Belgium enters as the clear favorite with a 52% win probability.

Team Form

Belgium's Last 5 Matches

  • Sep 28: Belgium 0-1 France (UEFA Nations League, home)
  • Sep 25: Italy 0-2 Belgium (UEFA Nations League, away)
  • Jul 10: Spain 2-1 Belgium (World Cup, away)
  • Jul7: USA1-4 Belgium (World Cup, away)
  • Jul1: Belgium 2-2 Senegal (World Cup, home)

Belgium's recent results show two wins, two losses, and one draw. They scored 9goals and conceded 6 across these matches, with highlights being an impressive 2-0 away win over Italy and a heavy 4-1 victory against USA.

Turkey's Last 5 Matches

  • Sep 28: Turkey 1-4 Italy (UEFA Nations League, home)
  • Sep 25: Turkey 0-1 France (UEFA Nations League, home)
  • Aug24: Turkey 3-0 North Macedonia (Friendly International, home)
  • Jun26: Turkey 3-2 USA (World Cup, home)
  • Jun20: Turkey 0-1 Paraguay (World Cup, home)

Turkey come into this fixture with two wins and three losses in their last five. They managed to score 7goals but conceded 8, and their defense looked vulnerable in heavy defeat to Italy and a narrow loss to France.

Head-to-Head Record

There is no previous head-to-head record between Belgium and Turkey. This UEFA Nations League clash marks their first ever official meeting.

League Table Positions

The provided standings do not include Belgium or Turkey, so their exact group positions in the UEFA Nations League remain unknown. The available tables list other nations at the top but neither team appears in those rankings.

Belgium vs Turkey Prediction: Who Will Win?

After calculating the win probabilities based on bookmaker odds and recent form, Belgium has a 52% chance of winning this match. A draw is rated at 30%, and Turkey's win probability stands at 18% โ€“ a total of 100%. The base probabilities derived from the odds (home 1.85, draw 2.62, away 4.75) implied a 48% home win, 34% draw, and 18% away win after removing the bookmaker margin. We have adjusted these numbers upwards for Belgium due to their stronger form, especially the 2-0 away victory over Italy, and downwards for the draw. Turkey's heavy 4-1 loss to Italy at home further supports the outlook that they will struggle away from home against a top side. Home advantage at Stade Maurice Dufrasne also strengthens Belgium's position, making them the justified favorite.

Odds & Match Prediction

Across several bookmakers, the odds for this match range from 1.48 to 1.85 for a Belgium win, 2.52 to 2.84 for the draw, and 4.50 to 6.00 for a Turkey victory. These odds clearly mark Belgium as the expected winner. Based on all the stats, our Belgium vs Turkey prediction is a home win for Belgium. Turkey's defensive fragilities and poor recent record against top European sides make an away victory unlikely. However, Belgium's occasional inconsistencies mean a draw remains a 30% possibility, so caution is advised.

Belgium vs Turkey โ€” FAQ

Who will win Belgium vs Turkey?
Based on our win probability calculation, Belgium has a 52% chance, the draw is at 30%, and Turkey holds an 18% chance. Belgium is the favorite thanks to stronger recent form and home advantage.
What is the win probability for Belgium?
Belgium's win probability is 52%. It was raised from the bookmaker-implied 48% after factoring in their 2-0 win away at Italy and Turkey's heavy 4-1 home loss to Italy.
When is the Belgium vs Turkey match?
The match is scheduled for Oct 2, 2026, at 19:45 local time. It will be played at Stade Maurice Dufrasne in Luik as part of the UEFA Nations League.
What are the odds for the match?
Bookmakers offer diverse odds: Belgium win is priced between 1.48 and 1.85, the draw between 2.52 and 2.84, and a Turkey win between 4.50 and 6.00.
What is the head-to-head record between Belgium and Turkey?
There is no previous head-to-head record. This UEFA Nations League fixture is the first official meeting between the two national teams.
Turkey โ€“ Belgium ยท match page