Poland Women - Belgium Women prediction 13 October 2026

Belgium Women vs Poland Women prediction for October 13, 2026 covers the World Cup Qualification Women fixture at 17:00. Poland Women host Belgium Women, but recent form and the head-to-head record point toward Belgium Women as the likely winner with a 45% win probability.

Team Form

Poland Women Form

Poland Women are in a difficult run. Their last five listed matches are five consecutive losses, with just three goals scored and ten conceded.

• Poland Women 0–1 Belgium Women
• Netherlands Women 3–1 Poland Women
• Poland Women 0–2 France Women
• Ireland Republic Women 1–0 Poland Women
• Poland Women 2–3 Ireland Republic Women

Belgium Women Form

Belgium Women are in much better shape. Their last five listed matches produced three wins and two draws, with 15 goals scored and only 1 conceded.

• Belgium Women 1–0 Poland Women
• Luxembourg Women 0–7 Belgium Women
• Belgium Women 6–0 Luxembourg Women
• Belgium Women 0–0 Scotland Women
• Scotland Women 1–1 Belgium Women

Head-to-Head Record

The available head-to-head record is small but clear: Belgium Women have 1 win, Poland Women have 0 wins, and there are 0 draws. The only listed meeting was the reverse fixture on October 9, 2026, when Belgium Women won 1–0.

Win Probability: Belgium Women or Poland Women?

The 1X2 market is close. Using the average pre-match odds, the no-margin probabilities are approximately Poland Women 34.0%, draw 33.9%, and Belgium Women 32.1%. However, the form gap and the most recent head-to-head result justify an adjustment toward Belgium Women.

Our win probability for this match is:

• Belgium Women win: 45%
• Draw: 28%
• Poland Women win: 27%

Belgium Women have a 45% chance of winning, the draw is at 28%, and Poland Women have a 27% chance. Poland Women have nominal home advantage, but that advantage is offset by two home defeats in their current five-match losing run.

Odds & Match Prediction

In the selected 1X2 market, one bookmaker lists Poland Women at 2.75, the draw at 3.50, and Belgium Women at 2.64. Across the six pre-match lines in the data, Poland Women are priced between 2.40 and 2.75, the draw between 2.12 and 3.50, and Belgium Women between 2.64 and 2.90.

Belgium Women vs Poland Women prediction: Based on the stats, Belgium Women are the more reliable match outcome. The main betting tip is Belgium Women to win, with the draw as the next most realistic result.