Ben Guerdane - Club Sportif Sfaxien prediction 16 September 2026
Ben Guerdane
Club Sportif SfaxienBen Guerdane
Stade TunisienHammam-SousseBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneClub AfricainBen GuerdaneClub Hammam-LifBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienUnion Sportive Monastirienne MonastirBen GuerdaneOlympique BejaBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneClub Hammam-LifBen GuerdaneEsperance Sportive de TunisStade TunisienBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneAS SlimaneJS KairouanaiseBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneUnion Sportive Monastirienne MonastirAS GabesBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneES MetlaouiClub Sportif SfaxienAFADAFADClub Sportif SfaxienPS Sakiet EddayerClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienCA BizertinBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienShooting StarsShooting StarsClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienZarzisStade TunisienClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienFC San PedroClub Sportif SfaxienZarzisClub Sportif SfaxienStade GabesienClub Sportif SfaxienEtoile Sportive Du SahelAvenir S MarsaClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienOlympique BejaBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneBen GuerdaneClub Sportif SfaxienBen GuerdaneClub Sportif Sfaxien| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Guerdane | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | +6 | 17 |
| 2 |  Esperance Sportive de Tunis | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 |
| 3 |  Union Sportive Monastirienne Monastir | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | +3 | 12 |
| 4 |  PS Sakiet Eddayer | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 |  CA Bizertin | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 11 |
| 6 |  JS Omrane | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Club Africain | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 |  Avenir S Marsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Club Sportif Sfaxien | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Stade Tunisien | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 |  Etoile Sportive Du Sahel | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 12 |  Zarzis | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 |  Club Hammam-Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 |  Olympique Beja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 15 |  ES Metlaoui | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 |  Hammam-Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Ben Guerdane vs Club Sportif Sfaxien Prediction (Sep 16)
Ben Guerdane vs Club Sportif Sfaxien prediction for the League 1 match on September 16, 2026, at 15:00. Based on the latest betting odds, team form, and head-to-head record, Club Sportif Sfaxien enters as the likely winner with a 40% chance, while a draw stands at 35% and Ben Guerdane at 25%.
Team Form
Ben Guerdane have been tough to beat but rarely dominant. Their last five outings read D, W, D, L, D, including a high-scoring 3-3 draw against Union Sportive Monastirienne Monastir. At home this season, they are yet to play, but overall they have scored 5 goals and conceded 4 in two away games.
Club Sportif Sfaxien come in with stronger momentum: W, L, W, D, W across all competitions. They recently beat Zarzis 2-1 in League 1 and secured a 2-0 CAF Confederation Cup win over Shooting Stars. Their only blip was a narrow loss to the same opponent away from home.
Head-to-Head Record
The historical H2H heavily favors Club Sportif Sfaxien. In nine previous meetings, Ben Guerdane have won just once, with one draw and seven wins for Club Sportif Sfaxien. The last five encounters all ended in Sfaxien victories, including a 1-0 away win in February 2026 and a 2-1 home win in September 2025.
League Table Positions
Both teams are level on 4 points from 2 matches each. Ben Guerdane sit 10th (1 win, 1 draw), while Club Sportif Sfaxien are 8th with an identical record but a better goal difference. Ben Guerdaneโs points have come entirely on the road, so it remains to be seen how they perform at home.
Win Probability: Ben Guerdane or Club Sportif Sfaxien?
After normalizing bookmaker odds and adjusting for the one-sided head-to-head record and recent form, we calculate the following win probabilities:
- Ben Guerdane: 25%
- Draw: 35%
- Club Sportif Sfaxien: 40%
The odds market initially implied a 43.5% chance for a draw, but the overwhelming H2H advantage for Sfaxien (7 wins in 9 meetings) shifts power toward the away team. Ben Guerdaneโs lack of home data this season and Sfaxienโs better recent results further support the visitors as the more probable winner.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers offer divergent lines: Ben Guerdane win at 3.00โ3.50, draw at 1.77โ2.82, and Club Sportif Sfaxien win at 2.61โ3.40. Some books see the draw as the most likely outcome, while others price the away win as favorite. Taking all stats into account, the safest prediction is a Club Sportif Sfaxien victory, but a draw cannot be ruled out given Ben Guerdaneโs habit of sharing the points. For those looking for betting tips, backing the away team on the Draw No Bet market or combining with under 2.5 total goals could offer value.
Ben Guerdane vs Club Sportif Sfaxien โ FAQ
- Who will win Ben Guerdane vs Club Sportif Sfaxien?
- Based on our win probability analysis, Club Sportif Sfaxien is the most likely winner with a 40% chance. Ben Guerdane has a 25% chance, while the draw probability is 35%. The visitorsโ dominant head-to-head record and better recent form tip the balance in their favor.
- What is the win probability for Club Sportif Sfaxien?
- Club Sportif Sfaxien has a 40% win probability according to our models. This is derived from a mix of bookmaker odds and adjustment for the overwhelming H2H record (7 wins in the last 9 meetings) and a stronger form run with three wins in their last five matches.
- When is the Ben Guerdane vs Club Sportif Sfaxien match?
- The match is scheduled for September 16, 2026, with a 15:00 kick-off. It will be played as part of the Tunisian League 1 competition.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmaker odds currently display a home win for Ben Guerdane between 3.00 and 3.50, a draw between 1.77 and 2.82, and an away win for Club Sportif Sfaxien between 2.61 and 3.40. The wide draw range reflects differing bookmaker opinions on the outcome.