Benfica B - Felgueiras prediction 12 October 2026
Benfica B
Felgueiras
CB FeirenseBenfica BBenfica BFelgueirasAcademica CoimbraBenfica BBenfica BSCU TorreenseAmaranteBenfica BBenfica BPortimonenseUniao LeiriaBenfica BBenfica BLeixoesAtletico Clube de PortugalBenfica BFarenseBenfica BPorto BBenfica BBenfica BAcademico ViseuSporting Lisbon BBenfica BBenfica BMaritimoUD OliveirenseBenfica BFelgueirasLusitania LourosaFelgueirasFafeBenfica BFelgueirasNaval 1893FelgueirasFelgueirasPenafielVizelaFelgueirasFelgueirasChavesFarenseFelgueirasFelgueirasAvs Futebol SadCB FeirenseFelgueirasUD OliveirenseFelgueirasFelgueirasPortimonensePorto BFelgueirasFelgueirasUniao LeiriaSporting Lisbon BFelgueirasBenfica BFelgueirasBenfica BFelgueirasFelgueirasBenfica BFelgueirasBenfica BBenfica BFelgueiras| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitania Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 |
| 2 |  Sporting Lisbon B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Academica Coimbra | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 |
| 5 |  Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Avs Futebol Sad | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 |  Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 |  Uniao Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |  Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Felgueiras | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |  SCU Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 |  Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |  CB Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 |
Benfica B vs Felgueiras Prediction (Oct 12)
The Segunda Liga match between Benfica B and Felgueiras on Oct 12 at Caixa Futebol Campus (kick-off 18:00) is our focus for today's Benfica B vs Felgueiras prediction. Based on form, league standings, and head-to-head record, Benfica B enters as the favorite with a 45% win probability, while the draw sits at 30% and Felgueiras has a 25% chance.
Team Form
Benfica B's last five matches show two wins, one draw, and two losses: a 3-0 away win at Academica Coimbra, a 0-2 home loss to Torreense, a 1-0 away loss at Amarante, a 1-1 home draw against Portimonense, and a 2-1 away win at Uniao Leiria. That inconsistent form includes two defeats in their last three home fixtures, highlighting some vulnerability at Caixa Futebol Campus.
Felgueiras' recent results are similar: a 2-0 away win at Naval 1893 in the Cup, a 1-2 home loss to Penafiel, a 0-1 away loss at Vizela, a 2-1 home win over Chaves, and a 1-1 away draw at Farense. With two wins, one draw, and two defeats in their last five, Felgueiras mirrors Benfica B's inconsistency.
Head-to-Head Record
The head-to-head between these sides in the Segunda Liga favours Benfica B, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last four encounters. Crucially, Benfica B has won both home matches: a 2-0 victory in December 2024 and a 4-2 win in February 2026. Felgueiras secured a 2-1 home win in September 2025 and an exciting 3-3 draw in May 2025. The four H2H meetings have averaged 3.75 goals per game, hinting at potential entertainment.
League Table Positions
Benfica B currently sits 7th in the Segunda Liga with 10 points from six games (3 wins, 1 draw, 2 defeats, goals 7:5). Felgueiras is not in the top 12 of the league standings, suggesting they are in the lower half of the table. The home side's mid-table placement gives them a theoretical edge over an opponent likely fighting to climb out of the bottom half.
Win Probability: Benfica B or Felgueiras?
Our calculated win probabilities for this match are:
- Benfica B win โ 45%
- Draw โ 30%
- Felgueiras win โ 25%
These figures start from the bookmaker implied odds (inverse odds normalized), which gave Benfica B ~43%, draw ~29%, away ~28%. We adjusted upward for Benfica B because of their perfect home H2H record and slightly better league position, while the draw % stays solid due to both teams' inconsistent recent results. Felgueiras' chances are downgraded by their lower standing and poor away form in head-to-head contests. Overall, Benfica B is more likely to win.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers' pre-match odds show a home win priced as low as 2.05 with some firms, the draw at around 3.27, and an away win at 3.50. These odds underline Benfica B as the clear favorite. A home win bet appeals based on the stats, but the draw at a higher price is an attractive alternative given Felgueiras' ability to hold Farense to a 1-1 away draw recently. Our prediction: Benfica B to win, but a draw is a real possibility.
Benfica B vs Felgueiras โ FAQ
- Who will win Benfica B vs Felgueiras?
- Benfica B has a 45% chance to win, while Felgueiras has 25%, and the draw stands at30%. Benfica Bโs strong home head-to-head record and better league position give them the edge, but Felgueirasโ recent draw at Farense shows they can be competitive away.
- What is the win probability for Benfica B?
- Benfica B has a45% chance of winning this match, adjusted from bookmaker implied odds of ~43%. The uptick reflects their perfect home H2H record and home advantage at Caixa Futebol Campus.
- When is the Benfica B vs Felgueiras match?
- The match is on Oct12 at18:00 local time at Caixa Futebol Campus in Seixal, Portugal, as part of the Segunda Liga.
- What are the odds for the match?
- Bookmakers offer odds from2.05 for a Benfica B win, around3.27 for the draw, and3.50 for a Felgueiras victory. These odds vary across betting sites, but consistently price Benifica B as the favorite.
- What is the head-to-head record between Benfica B and Felgueiras?
- In their last four meetings, Benfica B has won2, drawn1, and lost1. Benfica B won both home matches (2-0 in December2024 and4-2 in February2026), while Felgueiras won2-1 at home in September2025 and drew3-3 in May2025.