Santa Clara - Benfica prediction 26 October 2026
Santa Clara
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |  Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |  Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 |  Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela Amadora | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril Praia | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Santa Clara vs Benfica Prediction (Oct 26)
Our Santa Clara vs Benfica prediction for the Primeira Liga match on October 26, 2026, at Estรกdio de Sรฃo Miguel kicks off at 18:45. Benfica enters as the clear favorite with a 58% win probability, while Santa Clara has a 19% chance and the draw stands at 23%.
Team Form
Santa Clara's recent results show a solid run. In their last five matches, they secured three wins and two draws (D, W, D, W, W). Their last outing was a 2-2 draw away at Mafra in the Cup on Oct 18.
Benfica has been even more impressive, winning four of their last five (W, W, W, L, W). They come off a commanding 4-1 victory against Omonia Nicosia in the UEFA Europa League on Oct 22.
Head-to-Head Record
Historically, this fixture heavily favors Benfica. In 20 meetings, the visitors have 16 wins, while Santa Clara has only 1 victory, and 3 draws. The most recent encounter on Feb 13, 2026, ended 2-1 to Benfica. The H2H record clearly supports an away win.
League Table Positions
Benfica sits 2nd in the Primeira Liga with 19 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Santa Clara is in 4th place with 18 points from their 8 games (5 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses). Notably, Santa Clara is unbeaten so far but has played one game fewer and faces a significant step up in class here.
Win Probability: Santa Clara or Benfica?
Based on the available odds, head-to-head dominance, and current form, the win probability is broken down as follows. Benfica has a 58% chance of winning, the draw is at 23%, and Santa Clara has a 19% chance. These figures are derived by normalizing the implied probabilities from the bookmakers' odds and adjusting for the overwhelming H2H record favoring Benfica.
Odds & Match Prediction
Bookmakers heavily favor Benfica. The best available odds show an away win at around 1.73, a draw at 2.58, and a home win for Santa Clara as high as 10.09. Given the stats and the vast gulf in head-to-head results, Benfica is the most likely winner, but Santa Clara's unbeaten league record suggests they could make it competitive.
Santa Clara vs Benfica โ FAQ
- Who will win Santa Clara vs Benfica?
- Benfica is expected to win based on our analysis. The win probability calculation gives Benfica a 58% chance, a draw a 23% chance, and Santa Clara a 19% chance.
- What is the win probability for Benfica?
- Benfica has a 58% chance of winning against Santa Clara. This is based on the provided odds and their dominant head-to-head record, where they have won 16 of the last 20 meetings.
- When is the Santa Clara vs Benfica match?
- The match is scheduled for October 26, 2026, at 18:45 local time. It is a Primeira Liga fixture being played at Estรกdio de Sรฃo Miguel in Ponta Delgada.
- What are the odds for the match?
- The pre-match odds from various bookmakers show a range of outcomes. The best away win odds for Benfica are around 1.73, a draw can be found at 2.58, and home win odds for Santa Clara reach as high as 10.09.