Bentleigh Greens - Oakleigh Cannons prediction 31 July 2026

Our Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons prediction for the NPL Victoria match on July 31, 2026, sees the league leaders as the overwhelming favorite to take all three points. Based on the latest odds and team data, Oakleigh Cannons has a 60% win probability, while Bentleigh Greens faces a steep uphill battle at just 10%.

Team Form

Bentleigh Greens are in poor shape, dropping four of their last five outings (L, W, L, L, L). That solitary win came at home against Dandenong City (2–1) on July 17. The sequence also includes a 0–1 loss to Preston Lions, a 1–2 defeat at Dandenong Thunder, a 0–3 thrashing by Green Gully Cavaliers, and a 0–1 home reverse to Altona Magic. They have managed only one goal in three of those five matches.

Oakleigh Cannons, on the other hand, bring strong form with a L, W, W, D, W pattern. After a 1–2 home loss to South Melbourne, they rebounded with a 1–0 away win at Hume City, a 2–0 home victory over Avondale FC, a 1–1 draw at Caroline Springs, and a 1–0 away success at Heidelberg United. Three clean sheets in that run highlight their defensive solidity.

Head-to-Head Record

Overall, Bentleigh Greens lead the historical head-to-head with 7 wins compared to Oakleigh’s 5, alongside 2 draws. However, the recent trend paints a different picture: Oakleigh have won four of the last five meetings. The most recent clash, in April 2026, ended 4–0 to Oakleigh. Other notable results include a 3–1 Oakleigh win in July 2023, a 3–0 win in April 2023, and a 4–0 friendly victory in February 2023. Bentleigh’s only success in this stretch was a 2–1 away win back in August 2022. Oakleigh have clearly dominated recent encounters, scoring 10 goals in the last three competitive meetings.

League Table Positions

Oakleigh Cannons sit top of the NPL Victoria table with 47 points from 22 games (14 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses), boasting a goal difference of +25 (45 scored, 20 conceded). Bentleigh Greens are second from bottom in 12th place, having collected only 19 points (5 wins, 4 draws, 13 losses) and a worrying -26 goal difference (20 for, 46 against).

The home/away splits further underline the gap. Bentleigh have a losing home record: 4 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses in 12 outings, with 17 scored and 27 conceded. Oakleigh, by contrast, are yet to lose on the road, recording 7 wins and 4 draws from 11 away fixtures, scoring 20 and conceding just 5 goals. The 28‑point gap in the standings and the sharp contrast in defensive records leave little doubt about the favourite.

Win Probability: Bentleigh Greens or Oakleigh Cannons?

We calculate the outcome probabilities by normalising the bookmaker odds (home 8.00, draw 2.50, away 1.67) and then adjusting for recent form, the head-to-head trend, and the massive league‑table disparity. The result is: Bentleigh Greens win — 10%, Draw — 30%, Oakleigh Cannons win — 60%. The visitor’s unbeaten away run and Bentleigh’s leaky defence make an away victory the most probable scenario by a wide margin.

Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons Prediction

Bookmakers reflect Oakleigh’s superiority with odds as low as 1.50 for an away win and as high as 8.00 for a home upset, while the draw hovers between 2.50 and 2.70. Given the form, the head-to-head dominance in recent years, and a 28‑point gap in the NPL Victoria table, all signs point to an Oakleigh Cannons victory. A draw cannot be ruled out entirely — the 30% probability supports a small chance — but the most likely match outcome is a comfortable away win. For bettors, the 1.50–1.67 odds on Oakleigh offer solid value, while a speculative punt on the draw at around 2.50 might appeal as an insurance play, though our analysis clearly leans toward the away side’s success.