Bento Goncalves RS - Gramadense RS prediction 12 September 2026

Our Bento Goncalves RS vs Gramadense RS prediction for the Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 match on Sep 12, 2026, at 19:00 identifies Gramadense RS as the likelier winner. Based on league positions, recent form, and head-to-head history, Gramadense RS has a 40% chance of winning, the draw stands at 35%, and Bento Goncalves RS has a 25% win probability.

Team Form

Bento Goncalves RS enter this fixture with a record of two wins, two draws, and one loss over their last five matches (W‑W‑D‑L‑D). They beat Brasil de Pelotas RS 2‑1 at home and Uniao Frederiquense RS 2‑0 away, but also drew with Pelotas RS (1‑1) and GE Bage RS (1‑1) and lost 1‑2 at Gloria RS.

Gramadense RS, on the other hand, have failed to win any of their last five outings (D‑D‑L‑D‑L). Three draws — 2‑2 vs EC Guarani RS, 0‑0 vs APAFUT, and 1‑1 vs Lajeadense RS — were offset by 2‑0 defeats to both Aimore RS and EC Passo Fundo RS. The lack of victories will worry Gramadense, but their overall campaign has been stronger.

Head-to-Head Record

These sides have met only once before. On Jun 24, 2025, Gramadense RS travelled to Bento Goncalves RS and secured a 0‑1 away victory in the same competition. That sole head-to-head clash gives Gramadense RS a psychological edge as well as an actual 1‑0 lead in the H2H series.

League Table Positions

In the Campeonato Gaucho. Serie A2 overall standings, Gramadense RS occupies 5th place with 24 points from 14 matches (6W‑6D‑2L, GF13‑GA9). Bento Goncalves RS does not feature among the top 12, indicating they are significantly lower in the rankings.

The away table highlights Gramadense’s strength on the road: they rank 2nd with 13 points from 7 away games (4W‑1D‑2L, GF8‑GA7). Bento Goncalves RS is not in the top 8 of the home table, suggesting their home form has been far from dominant.

Win Probability: Bento Goncalves RS or Gramadense RS?

Taking into account league position, head-to-head, home advantage, and recent results, we calculate the probabilities as: Gramadense RS win – 40%, draw – 35%, Bento Goncalves RS win – 25%. Gramadense’s 5th-place standing, the H2H victory, and their second‑best away record give them a clear favorite tag, even with their poor recent form. Bento’s two recent wins, coupled with home support, improve their chances of taking a point, hence the elevated draw probability.

Odds & Match Prediction

No bookmaker odds are currently available for this fixture. Therefore, our prediction is based purely on the available statistical data. Bookmakers, when they do price the market, are likely to reflect Gramadense RS as the favorite, given their superior league status and head-to-head advantage. Our forecast sees Gramadense RS as the team with the highest chance to win, but with the draw rating as the next most probable outcome.